Ceuta vs Granada CF: match statistics
Ceuta boasts impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their own ground and a positive goal difference of +5 at home. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (53%) and create more chances (xG 1.56 vs 1.16), giving them an edge over Granada CF. Granada CF shows poor away efficiency with just a 25% win rate and a negative goal difference of -4, and they often fail to score (33% FTS%). Although Granada has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), their away results remain unconvincing. Considering Ceuta's home advantage and Granada's problems in away matches, the hosts have a real chance of securing three points, although a draw is also possible due to Granada's tendency to share points on the road (33% away draws).
Ceuta vs Granada CF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ceuta played Granada CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ceuta: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Granada CF: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ceuta scores 1.20 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Granada CF scores 1.19 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ceuta 52%, Granada CF 54%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 52%, Granada CF 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Granada CF has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.32. Ceuta: 11.3 shots per match, Granada CF: 13.0.
Match halves
Ceuta: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Granada CF: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Ceuta: 31-45+ (7 goals). Granada CF: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ceuta boasts impressive home form with a 67% win rate at their own ground and a positive goal difference of +5 at home. The hosts dominate in home matches in terms of possession (53%) and create more chances (xG 1.56 vs 1.16), giving them an edge over Granada CF. Granada CF shows poor away efficiency with just a 25% win rate and a negative goal difference of -4, and they often fail to score (33% FTS%). Although Granada has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), their away results remain unconvincing. Considering Ceuta's home advantage and Granada's problems in away matches, the hosts have a real chance of securing three points, although a draw is also possible due to Granada's tendency to share points on the road (33% away draws).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ceuta | Granada CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Granada CF is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Ceuta · 2 pts / match - Granada CF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Granada CF is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.15 goals / match - Granada CF
Ceuta scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Granada CF keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Granada CF scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ceuta
Over / Under - Granada CF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Granada CF is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.38 pts / match - Granada CF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Granada CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ceuta
Granada CF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Ceuta | Liga | Granada CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ceuta 0 - 1 - 0 Granada CF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ceuta vs Granada CF?
The Segunda División match finished Ceuta 2:1 Granada CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Granada CF?
Ceuta score 1.20 goals per game on average and Granada CF 1.19. The Segunda División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ceuta's matches and 54% of Granada CF's.
What form are Ceuta and Granada CF in?
Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Granada CF 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Granada CF?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ceuta vs Granada CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.