Spain - Segunda DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alfonso MurubeData current as of 16 October 2026

Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ceuta vs Real Oviedo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ceuta play Real Oviedo in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Current form

Ceuta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Real Oviedo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ceuta scores 0.89 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Real Oviedo scores 1.22 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ceuta 67%, Real Oviedo 33%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 56%, Real Oviedo 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Real Oviedo has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.45. Ceuta: 14.0 shots per match, Real Oviedo: 14.8.

Match halves

Ceuta: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Real Oviedo: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Ceuta: 76-90+ (4 goals). Real Oviedo: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.80)
(3.10)
(2.31)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.89Goals scored / match1.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
2.22Goals conceded / match1
CeutaReal Oviedo
49%Average possession49%
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.67Shots on target / match4.44
CeutaReal Oviedo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match14.78
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.67Shots on target4.44
CeutaReal Oviedo
6.3%Shot conversion8.3%
CeutaReal Oviedo
49%Possession49%
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.45xG for1.57
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.36xG against1.41
CeutaReal Oviedo

Shooting quality

Ceuta: AttackingReal Oviedo: Attacking
CeutaReal Oviedo
Accuracy (shots on target)26%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Oviedo is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.8 pts / match - Real Oviedo

Ceuta
LDWDL
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Real Oviedo
WLWLW
Season result split
44% W22% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-3
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Oviedo is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.22 goals / match - Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo is 122% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.22 goals / match - Ceuta · 1 goals / match - Real Oviedo

Ceuta scoring profile: mixed

Ceuta scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Real Oviedo keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

Real Oviedo scoring profile: very strong

Real Oviedo scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

8Goals scored (season)11
CeutaReal Oviedo
20Goals conceded (season)9
CeutaReal Oviedo
3.11Average goals in match2.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
7Goals scored (last 5)10
CeutaReal Oviedo
8Goals conceded (last 5)8
CeutaReal Oviedo

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%2 goals33%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%3 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%4 goals0%
CeutaReal Oviedo

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal44%
CeutaReal Oviedo
67%2 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
33%3 goals22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%4 goals11%
CeutaReal Oviedo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%Scored in both halves33%
CeutaReal Oviedo

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
CeutaReal Oviedo
100%BTTS - last 560%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
CeutaReal Oviedo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CeutaReal Oviedo

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
CeutaReal Oviedo
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Oviedo is 330% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.44 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.89 pts / match - Real Oviedo

Ceuta - half-time state
0% leading44% draw56% trailing
Real Oviedo - half-time state
56% leading22% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.44Points per match (1st half)1.89
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.22Goals scored (1st half)0.67
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
CeutaReal Oviedo
1Average goals (1st half)1
CeutaReal Oviedo
22%Clean sheet before half-time78%
CeutaReal Oviedo
78%No goal before half-time44%
CeutaReal Oviedo

After half-time (2nd half)

0.78Points per match (2nd half)1.33
CeutaReal Oviedo
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
CeutaReal Oviedo
1.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
CeutaReal Oviedo
2.11Average goals (2nd half)1.22
CeutaReal Oviedo
11%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CeutaReal Oviedo
56%No goal after half-time56%
CeutaReal Oviedo

Ceuta - second-half results

22% W11% D67% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.44
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Oviedo - second-half results

22% W67% D11% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ceuta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Real Oviedo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Real Oviedo
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
198%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Real Oviedo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CeutaLigaReal Oviedo
Average goals in match▲ 3.112.65▼ 2.22
Both teams scored▲ 67%49%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%49%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 0%30%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%71%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%73%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ceuta and Real Oviedo play?

Ceuta face Real Oviedo on 18 October 2026 in Segunda División at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?

Ceuta score 0.89 goals per game on average and Real Oviedo 1.22. The Segunda División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ceuta's matches and 33% of Real Oviedo's.

What form are Ceuta and Real Oviedo in?

Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Real Oviedo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Real Oviedo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.