Chaco For Ever vs Los Andes: match statistics

Chaco For Ever come into this match in clearly better form, having won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 goals and conceding just 4, while Los Andes have a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with only 4 goals scored. At home, the hosts average 1.18 goals with an xG of 1.38, whereas the visitors score just 0.91 goals per away game and fail to score in as many as 45% of such matches. Los Andes have a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 0.73 goals away from home and keeping a clean sheet in 55% of matches, which significantly increases the chances of a closely contested game. At the same time, their xG against stands at as high as 1.63, suggesting that the low number of goals conceded may be partly the result of effective goalkeeping rather than complete control over their opponents. Chaco For Ever's advantage in current form, home conditions and the quality of chances created points to a narrow home win.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as both teams very rarely finish matches with goals scored by both sides this season: Chaco For Ever has recorded this outcome in 23% of matches, while Los Andes has done so in just 18%, compared with the league average of 40%. The hosts score only 0.77 goals per home match and fail to score in 54% of their fixtures, whereas Los Andes averages 0.91 goals and has been held scoreless in 45% of matches. Both defences regularly keep clean sheets, as reflected by rates of 62% for Chaco For Ever and 55% for Los Andes, with average goals conceded of 0.46 and 0.73 respectively. The last five matches did produce BTTS at a 40% rate for both teams, but Los Andes scored only 0.8 goals per game during this period, while the league as a whole records a low average of 1.94 goals. The higher xG figures of 1.63 for the hosts and 1.35 for the visitors leave room for a single goal, but the finishing data and clean-sheet rates more clearly support a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The profile of both teams clearly points toward a low-scoring outcome: Chaco For Ever’s matches finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 92% of cases, while the figure for Los Andes was 100%. An even stronger signal comes from the hosts’ defensive record, as they concede just 0.46 goals on average at home and keep a clean sheet in 62% of matches. Los Andes also rely on defensive control, recording 55% clean sheets, while their average number of goals scored away from home is just 0.91. The last five matches suggest slightly greater chance-creation potential from the visitors, whose xG stood at 1.81, but this translated into only 0.8 goals scored per game. The projected total of 1.90 goals remains below the 2.5 line, while Under 3.5 offers the greatest margin of safety in light of both teams’ seasonal trends.

The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Chaco For Ever were level after 45 minutes in 8 of 13 matches, or 62%, while their games have produced an average of just 0.38 goals in the first half. The hosts concede only 0.15 goals per match before the break and have kept a clean sheet in this period in as many as 85% of their appearances, which significantly limits Los Andes’ chances of taking an early lead. The full match also promises to be a cautious affair, as Chaco average 0.77 goals scored and 0.46 conceded, while Los Andes score 0.91 goals per game. The hosts have recorded draws in as many as 46% of their matches this season, and both teams have a low percentage of games in which both sides score, at 23% and 18%, respectively. Chaco For Ever’s stronger form over their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, increases the likelihood of the X/1 outcome, but the most probable scenario remains a draw maintained until full-time.