Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power: match statistics
Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Changchun Yatai played Guangzhou E-Power in China League One (China). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Changchun Yatai: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Guangzhou E-Power: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Changchun Yatai scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Guangzhou E-Power scores 1.80 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Changchun Yatai 60%, Guangzhou E-Power 20%. Over 2.5: Changchun Yatai 60%, Guangzhou E-Power 40%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Guangzhou E-Power has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.06. Changchun Yatai: 7.8 shots per match, Guangzhou E-Power: 14.8.
Match halves
Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Guangzhou E-Power: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (3 goals). Guangzhou E-Power: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Changchun Yatai have a 100% home win rate, averaging 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per home match, with clean sheets in 50% of games. Guangzhou E-Power top the table (1st) with strong season figures: 4 wins, 1 loss and 9 goals scored, and they average 2.4 points per game over the last 5 matches. Both teams produce similar attacking expected goals (xG 1.28), but the visitors concede much higher away xG against them (1.8) compared to the hosts at home (1.32), translating to an average of 1.5 goals conceded by Guangzhou versus 0.5 for Changchun. The home side is also more efficient in conversion despite fewer shots: 4 on target and 9.5 shots per home match with 16% conversion versus the visitors' 3 on target, 10.5 attempts and 14% conversion. Considering Changchun’s 100% home wins, lower goals conceded (0.5 vs 1.5) and superior shooting efficiency, I give a slight edge to Changchun: 50% win, 20% draw and 30% away success.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and chance exchange analysis suggests both teams are capable of scoring: Changchun has xG_for 1.92 and xG_against 1.05, Guangzhou xG_for 1.28 and xG_against 1.8, translating to estimated expected goals of ~1.86 for the home side ((1.92+1.8)/2) and ~1.17 for the away side ((1.28+1.05)/2). In the last 5 matches Changchun scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), while Guangzhou scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 3 (0.6); additional last5 xG shows ~1.24 for the home team (1.11 vs 1.36) and ~1.38 for the visitors (1.68 vs 1.07), confirming both sides generate clear chances. This is at odds with Changchun’s seasonal profile: seasonConcededAVG 0.0, seasonCSPercentage 100% and seasonBTTSPercentage 0%, whereas Guangzhou has seasonConcededAVG 1.5 and seasonBTTSPercentage 50%, so season-long data slightly favors No BTTS. On the other hand, the home team averages 17.67 shots and 6.0 on target with an 11% conversion, while the visitors average 10.5 shots and 3.0 on target with a 14% conversion—so superiority in chance creation (17.67 vs 10.5) and a relatively high away xG (1.28) increase the probability of Goal/Goal. Considering the majority of xG signals and last5 form (expected goals ~1.86 and ~1.17 and last5 above ~1.2 for both), I assign BTTS - Yes 65% vs No 35% and select Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and average goals, I expect a total around 3.03: Changchun ~1.86 (attacking xG 1.92 and Guangzhou defense concedes 1.8 xG → (1.92+1.8)/2), and Guangzhou ~1.17 (attacking xG 1.28 and Changchun defense 1.05 → (1.28+1.05)/2). A Poisson model for an expected sum of 3.03 yields probability of over 1.5 goals ~80.5% (rounded to 81%), over 2.5 about 58% and over 3.5 about 36%. Additionally, Changchun averages 17.67 shots and 6.0 on target per match, Guangzhou 10.5 shots and 3.0 on target; Changchun scores on average 2.0 goals at home, Guangzhou 1.5, which strengthens the home side’s attacking potential. In the last 5 matches the two teams combined scored 16 goals (Changchun 7, Guangzhou 9), so multi-goal games are common. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Changchun Yatai led at half-time in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and scores an average of 1.33 goals by the break, conceding 0.0 on average at half-time, which indicates clear home dominance after 45 minutes. Over full matches Changchun averages 2.0 goals and concedes 0.0, earns 3.0 points per match and has a 100% win rate, whereas Guangzhou averages 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, 1.5 points per match and a 50% win rate — therefore the home advantage is substantial. Home xG is 1.92 versus 1.28 for the visitors, while the visitors have higher xG against (1.8) than the home team has against them (1.05); the home side also generates more shots (17.67 vs 10.5) and more on target (6.0 vs 3.0), confirming the quality of created chances. Although the visitors tend to score more in second halves (on average 2.0 vs 0.67 for the home team), the home side concedes no goals in second halves (0.0 on average) and collects more points after the break (1.67 pts vs 0.0), therefore the scenario of Changchun leading at the break and winning by full-time (HT/FT 1/1) appears most likely. On that basis I select HT/FT 1/1 as the best data-supported pick, with minor reservations for X/1 and 1/X; additionally the first-half goals tally (GoalsHT: 4 for the home side vs 2 for the visitors) also favors the home team in the opening 45 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Changchun Yatai | Guangzhou E-Power | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangzhou E-Power is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 2.4 pts / match - Guangzhou E-Power
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangzhou E-Power is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.8 goals / match - Guangzhou E-Power
Guangzhou E-Power is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 0.6 goals / match - Guangzhou E-Power
Changchun Yatai scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Guangzhou E-Power keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Guangzhou E-Power scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Changchun Yatai
Over / Under - Guangzhou E-Power
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangzhou E-Power is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 2.6 pts / match - Guangzhou E-Power
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guangzhou E-Power - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Changchun Yatai
Guangzhou E-Power
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Changchun Yatai | Liga | Guangzhou E-Power | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.40 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 40% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 36% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power?
The China League One match finished Changchun Yatai 1:2 Guangzhou E-Power. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power?
Changchun Yatai score 1.40 goals per game on average and Guangzhou E-Power 1.80. The China League One average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Changchun Yatai's matches and 20% of Guangzhou E-Power's.
What form are Changchun Yatai and Guangzhou E-Power in?
Over the last 5 games Changchun Yatai have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Guangzhou E-Power 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou E-Power: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.