China - China League OneChangchun's People StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Changchun Yatai play Nanjing City in China League One (China). The match date is 25 July 2026 at 13:00. Venue: Changchun's People Stadium.

Current form

Changchun Yatai: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nanjing City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Nanjing City scores 0.93 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Changchun Yatai 79%, Nanjing City 47%. Over 2.5: Changchun Yatai 86%, Nanjing City 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Nanjing City has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Changchun Yatai: 10.2 shots per match, Nanjing City: 12.2.

Match halves

Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71. Nanjing City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.27.

Goals by minute

Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (8 goals). Nanjing City: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

China League One: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.80)
(3.45)
(3.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.5Goals scored / match0.93
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.93Goals conceded / match1.07
Changchun YataiNanjing City
49%Average possession45%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
3.79Shots on target / match3.07
Changchun YataiNanjing City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.21Shots per match12.2
Changchun YataiNanjing City
3.79Shots on target3.07
Changchun YataiNanjing City
14.7%Shot conversion7.7%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
49%Possession45%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.26xG for1.33
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.3xG against1.23
Changchun YataiNanjing City

Shooting quality

Changchun Yatai: Efficient finishingNanjing City: Balanced
Changchun YataiNanjing City
Accuracy (shots on target)37%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Changchun Yatai is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 0.6 pts / match - Nanjing City

Changchun Yatai
DWLWL
Season result split
43% W7% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-7
1.36 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Nanjing City
LLWLL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-7
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Changchun Yatai is 61% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 0.93 goals / match - Nanjing City

Nanjing City is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.93 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.07 goals / match - Nanjing City

Changchun Yatai scoring profile: very strong

Changchun Yatai scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Nanjing City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

Nanjing City scoring profile: very strong

Nanjing City scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).

21Goals scored (season)14
Changchun YataiNanjing City
27Goals conceded (season)16
Changchun YataiNanjing City
3.43Average goals in match2
Changchun YataiNanjing City
9Goals scored (last 5)5
Changchun YataiNanjing City
11Goals conceded (last 5)8
Changchun YataiNanjing City

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal67%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
43%2 goals20%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
21%3 goals7%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
0%4 goals0%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal73%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
57%2 goals27%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
21%3 goals7%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
14%4 goals0%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

57%BTTS at half-time20%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
36%Scored in both halves13%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

BTTS and goal count

79%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
100%BTTS - last 560%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
71%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nanjing City is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.4 pts / match - Nanjing City

Changchun Yatai - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing
Nanjing City - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.4
Changchun YataiNanjing City
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.93Average goals (1st half)1.2
Changchun YataiNanjing City
21%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
36%No goal before half-time47%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1
Changchun YataiNanjing City
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.27
Changchun YataiNanjing City
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Changchun YataiNanjing City
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.8
Changchun YataiNanjing City
43%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Changchun YataiNanjing City
43%No goal after half-time73%
Changchun YataiNanjing City

Changchun Yatai - second-half results

36% W29% R36% P
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding205%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nanjing City - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Changchun Yatai - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Nanjing City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.20
Goals scored / match1.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Changchun Yatai
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
1
4
16-30
8
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
4
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nanjing City
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Changchun Yatai

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Nanjing City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).

Teams vs league

Changchun YataiLigaNanjing City
Average goals in match 3.432.56 2.00
Both teams scored 79%52% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%50% 33%
Clean sheets 7%29% 27%
Goal before half-time 86%71% 80%
Goal after half-time 79%72% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.29
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Changchun Yatai 0 - 0 - 1 Nanjing City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Changchun Yatai and Nanjing City play?

Changchun Yatai face Nanjing City on 25 July 2026 in China League One at Changchun's People Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

Changchun Yatai score 1.50 goals per game on average and Nanjing City 0.93. The China League One average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 79% of Changchun Yatai's matches and 47% of Nanjing City's.

What form are Changchun Yatai and Nanjing City in?

Over the last 5 games Changchun Yatai have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nanjing City 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Changchun Yatai vs Nanjing City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.