Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors: match statistics
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Changchun Yatai played Shenzhen Juniors in China League One (China). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Changchun's People Stadium. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Changchun Yatai: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Shenzhen Juniors: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Shenzhen Juniors scores 1.75 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Changchun Yatai 75%, Shenzhen Juniors 25%. Over 2.5: Changchun Yatai 75%, Shenzhen Juniors 63%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Shenzhen Juniors has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.23. Changchun Yatai: 9.1 shots per match, Shenzhen Juniors: 11.1.
Match halves
Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Shenzhen Juniors: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (5 goals). Shenzhen Juniors: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites in this matchup are Shenzhen Juniors (2nd) vs Changchun Yatai (6th); Shenzhen have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5, while the hosts are 2-1-2 in their last 5 with 9 goals for and 9 against. The visitors’ offensive edge is clear: Shenzhen average 2.5 goals away with 10.5 shots and 5.5 on target per game and a 24% conversion rate, whereas Changchun at home average 1.33 goals with 9.67 shots and 4.67 on target and a 14% conversion. Quality of chances (xG) is similar — xG for Shenzhen is 1.43 versus 1.31 for Changchun, and xG against is 1.45 vs 1.44 — suggesting the visitors’ advantage stems mainly from better finishing. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal in home matches on average, while the visitors concede 1.5 away; Changchun do not struggle to score at home (FTS 0% and 33% clean sheets), but Shenzhen have clearly better points form (2.4 pts per game in last 5 vs 1.4). Considering efficiency (24% vs 14%), higher goals average (2.5 vs 1.33) and recent win record (4 of 5 vs 2 of 5), I predict a win for the visitors; I assess Shenzhen’s win probability at 55%, draw 25% and home win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant argument against BTTS is the home profile: Changchun Yatai have a 75% clean sheet rate at home and a season BTTS rate of 0%, with an average of 0.75 goals conceded per game. Visitors Shenzhen score 2.5 goals per game on average, have 50% away BTTS and a high shot conversion of 24% with 5.5 shots on target on average, which increases their chance to score. xG metrics are close — home xG 1.54 versus away xG 1.43, and home xG against is 1.19, suggesting Changchun create chances but seasonally score only 1.0 goal. Overall, considering the 75% clean sheets for the hosts and 0% BTTS at home this season versus the visitors' 50% away BTTS and mixed signals from the last 5 matches (hosts 100% BTTS in last 5 and conceding 1.8 on average), I estimate 70% for 'No' and 30% for 'Yes' and select 'No' as the most reasonable pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG indicates 1.50 for Changchun Yatai and 1.31 for Shenzhen Juniors, totaling 2.81 expected goals. Seasonal averages show a large attacking discrepancy: home side scores 1.0 goal per game, visitors 2.5; visitors have 100% of matches Over 2.5, homes only 25%, so the majority of goal pressure should come from Shenzhen. Shot and efficiency metrics confirm this picture: hosts average 11.75 shots with a 9.0% conversion and 4.5 on target, visitors 10.5 shots with 24.0% conversion and 5.5 on target, suggesting the visitors convert chances more efficiently. In the last 5 matches, hosts average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, visitors 2.0 and 1.0; Over2.5 rates in the last 5 are 80% for hosts and 60% for visitors, reinforcing the probability of more than 1.5 goals. Consequently I recommend an Over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal (Over1.5 ~90% vs Under1.5 ~10%); Over 2.5 remains likely (~70%/~30%), while Over 3.5 has lower confidence (~35%/~65%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Shenzhen Juniors leading at half-time and going on to win the match (2/2). The visitors lead at the break in 75% of matches and score at least one goal before half-time in 100% of games, averaging 1.25 goals by half-time. Despite similar xG (1.54 for the home team vs 1.43 for the visitors), Shenzhen display a markedly higher shot conversion rate—24% versus the home side’s 9%—and register more shots on target (5.5 vs 4.5), which increases their chances of holding the lead. Additionally, in the last five fixtures the visitors have won 80% of matches compared with 40% for the hosts, and the average points at half-time are 2.25 for the visitors versus 1.25 for the hosts (9 half-time points for visitors vs 5 for hosts). For these reasons I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 outcome, with lower likelihoods for a draw or a turnaround after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Changchun Yatai | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shenzhen Juniors is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 2.4 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shenzhen Juniors is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.75 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Juniors is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.13 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Changchun Yatai scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Shenzhen Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Shenzhen Juniors scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Changchun Yatai
Over / Under - Shenzhen Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shenzhen Juniors is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.75 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shenzhen Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Changchun Yatai
Shenzhen Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Changchun Yatai | Liga | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 42% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The China League One match finished Changchun Yatai 0:4 Shenzhen Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Changchun Yatai score 1.50 goals per game on average and Shenzhen Juniors 1.75. The China League One average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Changchun Yatai's matches and 25% of Shenzhen Juniors's.
What form are Changchun Yatai and Shenzhen Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Changchun Yatai have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Shenzhen Juniors 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The statistical background for Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.