Chapecoense vs Atlético PR: match statistics
Chapecoense vs Atlético PR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chapecoense played Atlético PR in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Arena Condá. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Chapecoense: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético PR: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chapecoense scores 1.04 and concedes 2.04 goals per match. Atlético PR scores 1.55 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chapecoense 64%, Atlético PR 59%. Over 2.5: Chapecoense 57%, Atlético PR 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.30. Chapecoense: 12.6 shots per match, Atlético PR: 12.9.
Match halves
Chapecoense: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.61. Atlético PR: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Chapecoense: 76-90+ (10 goals). Atlético PR: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR sit 3rd in the table with 14 wins from 28 matches, while bottom-placed Chapecoense have won just 3. The visitors have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 5 for the hosts; Chapecoense have also conceded 11 goals over that period. Atlético PR’s biggest opportunity lies in the opposition’s defence, which concedes an average of 2.23 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in only 15% of games. However, an away win is far from a foregone conclusion: the visitors win 36% of their matches on the road and concede an average of 1.5 goals, while Chapecoense’s home xG stands at 1.50 compared with Atlético PR’s away xG of 1.21. The visitors’ superior league position and recent scoring form still make them the stronger pick, although their away record calls for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams finished their season matches with goals at both ends in 57% of cases, and over their last five games that figure rose to 80% for Chapecoense and 100% for Atlético PR. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 2.2 goals and the visitors 2.4, so their current defensive form points to goals for both sides. Chapecoense average 1.79 goals at home and generate an xG of 1.58, while Atlético PR allow opponents an xG of 1.71. The visitors face a slightly tougher task against a home defence that concedes an average of 0.79 goals, but they have scored 12 goals in their last five matches. Despite that caveat, Atlético PR's recent scoring form and the number of goals conceded by both teams support the pick that each side will score at least once: BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 79% of Chapecoense’s matches and 71% of Atlético PR’s. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded an average of 2.2 goals, while the visitors both scored and conceded 2.4 goals per game, further supporting at least two goals. Chapecoense average 1.58 xG, and Atlético PR allow opponents 1.71 xG, giving the hosts a solid basis to make a significant contribution to the scoreline. Although Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Chapecoense’s last five matches and in all five of Atlético PR’s, full-season figures stand at 43% and 57%, respectively, so the 1.5 line offers a clearer signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Chapecoense were level at the break in 57% of their matches, while Atlético PR were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 games. The hosts’ full-season record supports a home win later on: they have won 64% of their matches, while the visitors have lost 43%. Chapecoense average 1.00 goals after half-time, and Atlético PR have conceded an average of 1.60 goals in that period across their last five appearances. The hosts’ edge in chance creation is supported by an xG of 1.58, compared with the 1.71 xG conceded by the visitors. However, Chapecoense’s recent form makes the X/1 pick less compelling: they have collected just 0.8 points per game across their last five matches, compared with Atlético PR’s 1.6.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chapecoense | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.2 pts / match - Atlético PR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.55 goals / match - Atlético PR
Atlético PR is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.04 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.17 goals / match - Atlético PR
Chapecoense scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Atlético PR scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chapecoense
Over / Under - Atlético PR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético PR is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.34 pts / match - Atlético PR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chapecoense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chapecoense
Atlético PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Chapecoense | Liga | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.66 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Chapecoense 0 - 1 - 2 Atlético PR. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chapecoense vs Atlético PR?
The Serie A match finished Chapecoense 1:4 Atlético PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense and Atlético PR?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 0, Atlético PR won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chapecoense vs Atlético PR?
Chapecoense score 1.04 goals per game on average and Atlético PR 1.55. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Chapecoense's matches and 59% of Atlético PR's.
What form are Chapecoense and Atlético PR in?
Over the last 5 games Chapecoense have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético PR 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chapecoense vs Atlético PR?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chapecoense vs Atlético PR: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.