Chapecoense vs Bahia: match statistics
Chapecoense vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chapecoense played Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Arena Condá. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Chapecoense: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Bahia: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chapecoense scores 0.95 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Bahia scores 1.32 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chapecoense 62%, Bahia 64%. Over 2.5: Chapecoense 52%, Bahia 45%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bahia has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.25. Chapecoense: 12.3 shots per match, Bahia: 14.1.
Match halves
Chapecoense: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Bahia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Chapecoense: 76-90+ (9 goals). Bahia: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia sit 5th, while Chapecoense are 20th, with the season-long record reinforcing the gap: 8 away wins compared with just 1 home victory. Chapecoense have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 10, whereas Bahia remain unbeaten during this period, drawing 4 times and conceding just 2 goals. The home side’s defense allows opponents an average of 2.4 goals per match at home, with only 10% clean sheets, which should create opportunities for Bahia despite their average of 1.2 goals scored away from home. The visitors are also more efficient in converting shots, turning 9% of their attempts into goals compared with Chapecoense’s 8%, while the hosts lose 50% of their home matches. Chapecoense’s high 40% home-draw rate limits confidence in the pick, but Bahia’s more stable defense and clearly superior form point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal metrics of both teams suggest goals at both ends, as Chapecoense have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches and Bahia in 60%, both above the league average of 56%. However, the current-form signal is significantly weaker: in their last 5 matches, BTTS landed in only 40% of cases for both sides, while Chapecoense scored just 3 goals, averaging 0.6 per game. Bahia have been particularly solid defensively, conceding only 2 goals during this period, or 0.4 per match, which increases the risk of the hosts failing to score. Chapecoense do have a high seasonal average of 1.70 xG, but their xG has recently dropped to 0.93, while Bahia have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches. Bahia should have chances to score against a team that has recently conceded an average of 2.0 goals, but the most likely scenario remains BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low share of matches with at least 4 goals: this outcome occurred in only 8% of Chapecoense’s games and 30% of Bahia’s matches, supporting the Under 3.5 goals pick. Bahia have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while Chapecoense have scored only 3 goals during that period. The hosts do have a season xG of 1.70, but their recent xG has fallen to 0.93, while Bahia have allowed opponents an average of 1.52 xG. The projected total of 2.16 goals suggests a realistic chance of 1–2 goals, while leaving a clear safety margin below the 3.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Bahia leading at the break and securing the win at full time, as Chapecoense have failed to score a single first-half goal in their last five matches and were trailing at half-time in as many as 80% of them. Over the same period, Bahia averaged 0.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded before the break, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.0 goal. The full-time form also favours the visitors: Chapecoense have lost three of their last five matches and averaged only 0.6 goals scored, whereas Bahia are unbeaten in their last five games, conceding just 0.4 goals per match. Across the season, the hosts do have a higher xG, 1.70 compared with 1.38, but Bahia’s defence has clearly limited opponents in their recent run, strengthening the possibility of them holding on to any lead. Additionally, Chapecoense have been trailing at half-time in only 8% of their matches this season, but their current attacking crisis and an average of 2.0 goals conceded in their last five outings increase the risk of a defeat from start to finish.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chapecoense | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.4 pts / match - Bahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.32 goals / match - Bahia
Bahia is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.14 goals / match - Bahia
Chapecoense scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Bahia scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chapecoense
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.62 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.27 pts / match - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chapecoense - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chapecoense
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Chapecoense | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chapecoense 0 - 0 - 1 Bahia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chapecoense vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Chapecoense 3:3 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chapecoense vs Bahia?
Chapecoense score 0.95 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.32. The Serie A average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Chapecoense's matches and 64% of Bahia's.
What form are Chapecoense and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Chapecoense have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Bahia 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chapecoense vs Bahia?
The statistical background for Chapecoense vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.