Chapecoense vs Grêmio: match statistics
Chapecoense is showing solid home form with a 50% home win rate and an impressive average of 3.5 goals scored per game, though an equally high average of goals conceded (2.5) highlights defensive issues. Gr ê mio has an abysmal away record with a 100% loss rate and just 0.5 goals per game, but their overall form in the last five matches is significantly better (1.8 PPG). The key factor is that Gr ê mio has not won a single away match this season, while Chapecoense has failed to keep a clean sheet at home, suggesting an open game with goals on both ends. Considering Gr ê mio's poor away efficiency (6% shot conversion) and the hosts' defensive instability, a score draw seems to be the most likely scenario. The difference in xG between the two teams is not significant, further supporting the prediction of shared points.
Chapecoense vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chapecoense played Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Chapecoense: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Grêmio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chapecoense scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chapecoense 75%, Grêmio 80%. Over 2.5: Chapecoense 50%, Grêmio 60%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Grêmio has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.10. Chapecoense: 10.8 shots per match, Grêmio: 12.4.
Match halves
Chapecoense: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Grêmio: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Chapecoense: 76-90+ (4 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chapecoense is showing solid home form with a 50% home win rate and an impressive average of 3.5 goals scored per game, though an equally high average of goals conceded (2.5) highlights defensive issues. Gr ê mio has an abysmal away record with a 100% loss rate and just 0.5 goals per game, but their overall form in the last five matches is significantly better (1.8 PPG). The key factor is that Gr ê mio has not won a single away match this season, while Chapecoense has failed to keep a clean sheet at home, suggesting an open game with goals on both ends. Considering Gr ê mio's poor away efficiency (6% shot conversion) and the hosts' defensive instability, a score draw seems to be the most likely scenario. The difference in xG between the two teams is not significant, further supporting the prediction of shared points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chapecoense | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grêmio is 12% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.4 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chapecoense is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.8 goals / match - Grêmio
Grêmio is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.8 goals / match - Grêmio
Chapecoense scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Grêmio scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chapecoense
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chapecoense - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chapecoense
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Chapecoense | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 80% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Chapecoense vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Chapecoense 1:1 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chapecoense vs Grêmio?
Chapecoense score 2.00 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.80. The Serie A average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Chapecoense's matches and 80% of Grêmio's.
What form are Chapecoense and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Chapecoense have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Grêmio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chapecoense vs Grêmio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chapecoense vs Grêmio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.