Chapecoense vs Vitória: match statistics
Chapecoense vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chapecoense played Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Chapecoense: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Vitória: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chapecoense scores 1.13 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Vitória scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chapecoense 50%, Vitória 38%. Over 2.5: Chapecoense 38%, Vitória 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Chapecoense has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.12. Chapecoense: 12.1 shots per match, Vitória: 9.9.
Match halves
Chapecoense: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. Vitória: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Chapecoense: 76-90+ (4 goals). Vitória: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chapecoense has a clear advantage in chance creation and finishing: at home they average 1.6 goals per match with xG 1.44 and 4.2 shots on target, while Vitória away records only 0.5 goals, xG 0.8 and 2 shots on target per match. Defensively both teams are vulnerable to conceding — Chapecoense concedes 2.0 goals at home on average, and Vitória 2.75 away, with both having shipped 9 goals in the last 5 matches. Looking at form, Vitória have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.2 points per game, whereas Chapecoense have scored only 1 goal and average 0.4 points per game, giving the visitors a form-based edge. However, home metrics favor the hosts in terms of resistance to defeat: Chapecoense have just 20% home defeats and as many as 60% draws, while Vitória have yet to win away (0% away wins). Considering the superior xG (1.44 vs 0.8), higher shot efficiency (11% vs 7%) and the visitors' lack of away wins, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors "no" for BTTS: Chapecoense has season averages of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded with 75% clean sheets, meaning they keep a clean sheet in 3 of 4 home matches. Vitória averages 0.5 goals scored and concedes 2.75 per match; their xG is 0.8 versus xG against 1.6, and an average of 2.0 shots on target with a 7% conversion indicates low offensive efficiency. Season BTTS rates are 25% for the home side and 50% for the away side, and in the last 5 matches 20% vs 40%; despite a league average BTTS of 56%, the teams’ profiles argue against both teams scoring. Additionally, Chapecoense averages 13.0 shots and 5.0 shots on target with xG 1.45, while Vitória has 6.75 shots and 2.0 shots on target with xG 0.8, suggesting home dominance and a higher chance of a clean sheet. Based on this I assess the probability of BTTS at 30% for "yes" and 70% for "no" and select "no" as the recommended pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimates based on xG: Chapecoense has an xG of 1.45 versus 0.80 for Vitória, and xG conceded for both teams is 1.24 (home) and 1.60 (away), yielding estimated goals of 1.53 for the home side and 1.02 for the visitors (total 2.55). The model forecasts roughly 72% probability for Over 1.5, supported by seasonal figures: 75% of Chapecoense matches and 100% of Vitória matches finished over 1.5 goals. At the same time, total xG ≈ 2.55 and recent form (last 5 matches xG: 1.13 for Chapecoense vs 1.54 for Vitória) produce a relatively balanced chance for Over 2.5 — about 47%. Over 3.5 is unlikely (~25%), corroborated by seasonal over35 rates: 0% for the home team and 25% for the visitors, along with lower away shots on target (2.0) and a conversion rate of 7%. Given the strong signal for at least 2 goals (72%) and a moderate probability of 3+ goals (47%), I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the optimal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chapecoense averages 1.5 goals per match and concedes 0.5, while Vitória scores 0.5 and concedes 2.75; the home side posts a higher xG of 1.45 versus 0.8, more shots on target 5.0 vs 2.0 and wins 75% of matches compared to Vitória’s 0%, indicating a clear advantage. At Half-Time Chapecoense leads in 50% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 50.0), while Vitória has not led in any (leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 0.0) and are trailing at the break in 75% of their games (trailingAtHTPercentage_away = 75.0), with first-half averages of 0.5 goals for the home team and 0.25 for the away. In the second half the hosts score on average 1.0 goal and do not concede (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.0, conceded_2hg_avg_home = 0.0), whereas Vitória concedes on average 0.75 after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away = 0.75); additionally Chapecoense have 75% clean sheets this season (seasonCSPercentage_home = 75.0), which increases the likelihood of holding the lead. Based on this, the most probable HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win) at 40% probability; alternatives are X/1 at 15% and 2/1 at 13%, while the combined probability of a Vitória win is low (~10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chapecoense | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chapecoense is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1 goals / match - Vitória
Vitória is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Chapecoense · 1.63 goals / match - Vitória
Chapecoense scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Vitória scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chapecoense
Over / Under - Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Chapecoense · 1 pts / match - Vitória
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chapecoense - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chapecoense
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Chapecoense | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.71 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Chapecoense vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Chapecoense 1:1 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chapecoense vs Vitória?
Chapecoense score 1.13 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Chapecoense's matches and 38% of Vitória's.
What form are Chapecoense and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Chapecoense have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vitória 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chapecoense vs Vitória?
The statistical background for Chapecoense vs Vitória — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.