Charleston Battery vs Miami FC II: match statistics

Charleston Battery are clear favorites: they win 78% of their home matches, remain unbeaten, and score an average of 3.0 goals per game. Miami FC II win just 10% of their away matches, average 0.7 goals, and fail to score in 60% of their outings. The hosts create significantly better chances, recording an average xG of 1.91 compared with the visitors’ 1.21, while also managing 7.11 shots on target per game versus 3.9 for their opponents. Charleston’s defense concedes just 0.78 goals per home match, whereas Miami allow opponents 1.4 goals and an xG of 1.73. In addition, the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, while Battery are unbeaten in their last nine home outings, strongly supporting a home win.

Charleston Battery records BTTS in 64% of matches, while over their last five games the rate stood at 60%, with an average of 1.8 goals scored. Miami FC II has only a 40% BTTS rate across the season and failed to score in 60% of matches, but their recent run has clearly improved that picture: BTTS landed in 80% of their last five games. The visitors conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, while Charleston averages 3.91 shots on target per match and has a 13% conversion rate, making a home goal highly likely. At the same time, Miami have recently created chances worth 1.43 xG per match, compared with 1.35 xG allowed by Charleston, providing grounds to expect an away goal as well. The signal for both teams to score is only moderate due to Miami’s seasonal attacking weakness, but current form and the defensive vulnerability of both sides slightly support the BTTS - Yes option.

Charleston averages 1.64 goals per match, while Miami FC II conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game in their last five fixtures, clearly favoring goals for the home side. The combined xG potential of both teams stands at 2.67, with Miami’s defense allowing an average of 1.73 xG. At least two goals were scored in 82% of Charleston’s matches and 60% of Miami’s games throughout the season, while in their last five matches, the Over 2.5 rate increased to 60% and 80%, respectively. The visitors have recently improved their attacking output to 1.2 goals per match, whereas Charleston conceded 1.2 goals during this period, making Miami’s contribution to the total a realistic prospect. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, as it requires only two goals with a projected total of 2.75 and is best supported by both season-long statistics and current form.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Charleston win at full-time, as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Miami have been trailing at half-time in as many as 80% of their games over the same period. Charleston average 1.64 goals per match, compared with just 0.70 for Miami, and the difference in form over the last five rounds is even more pronounced: 1.8 goals scored by the hosts versus 1.2 by the visitors, as well as 1.4 points per match compared with 0.2. Miami have lost 50% of their matches this season and have been defeated in four of their last five games, whereas Charleston have won 40% of their last five fixtures. However, the visitors are often cautious before the break, having drawn at half-time in eight of their ten league matches this season, which reduces the likelihood of the hosts taking an early lead. After the interval, Charleston's advantage should increase: they average 0.91 goals in the second half, while Miami fail to score in as many as 80% of second halves. Therefore, the X/1 outcome has the strongest statistical support.