Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise: match statistics
Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlotte Independence played Athletic Club Boise in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 6 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Charlotte Independence: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Club Boise: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlotte Independence scores 2.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Athletic Club Boise scores 2.00 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlotte Independence 80%, Athletic Club Boise 67%. Over 2.5: Charlotte Independence 80%, Athletic Club Boise 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.47. Charlotte Independence: 16.0 shots per match, Athletic Club Boise: 11.5.
Match halves
Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Athletic Club Boise: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Charlotte Independence: 0-15 (4 goals). Athletic Club Boise: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Club Boise sits 5th with a season record of 3-2-1, 12 goals scored (10 in the last 5 matches) and is averaging 1.8 points per game over their last five, while Charlotte are 1-2-2 with 10 goals this season and just 0.8 points per game in their last five. At home Charlotte average 4.0 goals per match with 16 shots and 5 on target (25% conversion) and have 100% win rate and 100% clean sheets in home fixtures, but that sample is only 1 home match (1 win). Defensively Charlotte have conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match), whereas Athletic conceded 5 in the same five (1.0 per match), indicating the visitors’ superiority in defensive stability. Quality-of-chance comparison also shows Charlotte’s home xG at 1.74 versus Athletic’s away xG of 1.30, with xG against of 1.36 (Charlotte) and 1.59 (Boise), suggesting a home edge in creating clear chances. Taking into account Charlotte’s very efficient, albeit small-sample, home profile (4.0 goals/match, 25% conversion) and higher home xG, but simultaneously the visitors’ better form (PPG 1.8 vs 0.8), I predict a home win, though with a significant risk of a draw or an away result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a high BTTS rate: Charlotte Independence and Athletic Club Boise each record 67% of matches with goals at both ends this season, and in the last 5 meetings this rate rose to 80% for both sides. Charlotte scores at home an average of 2.33 goals per game, while Boise concedes an average of 1.67 goals away, increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. In the last 5 matches Charlotte concedes on average 2.8 goals, and Boise scores on average 2.0 goals, so recent form favors away goals. xG also points to an exchange of chances: Charlotte has xG for 1.68 versus Boise xG against 1.59, and Boise has xG for 1.30 versus Charlotte xG against 1.17, indicating similar expected goals. Considering a seasonal 67% over 2.5 and a league average of 2.77 goals, the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate high goal potential: Charlotte averages 2.33 goals scored and concedes 0.67 per match, while Athletic Boise scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67; both teams have a BTTS rate of 67%. xG corroborates this picture: averaging the home attack xG 1.68 with the away defense xG 1.59 yields about 1.64 expected goals for Charlotte, and averaging 1.30 and 1.17 gives about 1.24 for Athletic, totaling ~2.88 goals. Historically Charlotte has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season, Athletic 67%, and the season Over 2.5 is 67% for both teams; in the last 5 matches Charlotte has 100% Over 2.5 and Athletic 60%, which strengthens the goals signal. Based on this I estimate a strong probability for Over 1.5 (88%), moderately high for Over 2.5 (70%) and lower for Over 3.5 (35%), therefore the best play is an Over on the 1.5 line with expected goals 1.64 (home) and 1.24 (away).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics favor Charlotte: the hosts average 2.33 goals per match versus Athletic Boise’s 1.67 and concede only 0.67 goals compared to the visitors’ 1.67. Charlotte led at the break in 67% of matches and average 1.33 goals before half-time versus Boise’s 0.67, with the home side’s first half exceeding 0.5 goals in 100% of cases. Additionally, Charlotte has a higher xG (1.68 vs 1.30), more shots (13.67 vs 9.67) and more shots on target (5.0 vs 3.67), which increases the chance of maintaining the lead through to full-time. Both teams register BTTS at 67%, so Boise can score, but the hosts’ advantage in xG, shot volume and an average 2.33 goals per match at home versus 1.33 for the visitors makes the most likely scenario a Charlotte lead at half-time and a Charlotte win at full-time (HT/FT: 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte Independence | Athletic Club Boise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Athletic Club Boise is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.6 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Club Boise is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.17 goals / match - Athletic Club Boise
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Athletic Club Boise keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Athletic Club Boise scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
Over / Under - Athletic Club Boise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club Boise is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.5 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Club Boise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlotte Independence
Athletic Club Boise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte Independence | Liga | Athletic Club Boise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise?
The USL League One match finished Charlotte Independence 1:0 Athletic Club Boise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise?
Charlotte Independence score 2.00 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Boise 2.00. The USL League One average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 67% of Athletic Club Boise's.
What form are Charlotte Independence and Athletic Club Boise in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Club Boise 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Charlotte Independence vs Athletic Club Boise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.