Charlotte Independence vs Naples: match statistics
Charlotte Independence vs Naples: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlotte Independence played Naples in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 2 November 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Charlotte Independence: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Naples: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlotte Independence scores 2.31 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Naples scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlotte Independence 72%, Naples 44%. Over 2.5: Charlotte Independence 72%, Naples 47%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.56. Charlotte Independence: 15.4 shots per match, Naples: 13.2.
Match halves
Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.78. Naples: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Charlotte Independence: 31-45+ (21 goals). Naples: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte Independence are top of the table and have won 88% of their home matches, while eighth-placed Naples have lost 56% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 2.81 goals per game at home, compared with 1.13 goals per game for Naples away, and their shot conversion rate is 17% versus Naples' 8%. Charlotte's edge in chance creation is reflected in their home xG of 1.92, although Naples' away xG of 1.60 shows that the visitors can also pose a threat. The hosts concede an average of 1.19 goals at home, while Naples' defence concedes 1.75 away, further strengthening the case for the league leaders. Naples' five consecutive wins and just 3 goals conceded during that run call for caution, but Charlotte's home record remains the stronger basis for backing a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for at least one team failing to score is that Charlotte kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches, while Naples failed to score in 31%. Both teams scored in 31% of Charlotte’s matches, compared with 56% of Naples’ games. This is a mixed signal, but it does not justify favoring BTTS - Yes. Naples has attacking potential, as reflected by an average xG of 1.60, but scored an average of 1.13 goals per game this season, while Charlotte conceded 1.13. The last five matches add uncertainty to the prediction: Charlotte conceded an average of 1.4 goals, but Naples conceded only 0.6, giving BTTS - No a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 69% of matches involving the two teams, providing a stronger signal for Over 1.5 goals than for higher lines. Charlotte average 1.31 goals scored, while Naples concede 1.75; the hosts also create chances worth an average of 1.52 xG, compared with the 1.79 xG allowed by the visitors. Naples bring attacking potential of 1.60 xG, although Charlotte have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Over their last five games, Charlotte averaged 2.2 goals scored and Naples 1.8, but the visitors conceded just 0.6 goals per match during that period. Therefore, the 2.84-goal prediction supports Over 1.5, while Over 2.5 goals landed in only 38% of Charlotte matches and 56% of Naples matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest indication that Charlotte will lead at the break is that the hosts won the first half in 56% of matches, while Naples were behind at half-time in 44%. Over the season as a whole, Charlotte won 63% of their matches compared with Naples’ 25% win rate, which supports the hosts holding on to their lead through to full-time. The visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals per match, including 1.06 after the break, so the hosts should have opportunities to protect or extend their advantage. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not a clear-cut choice: Naples have won all of their last five matches and conceded an average of just 0.6 goals in them. This improvement in form boosts the chances of outcomes involving an away win, but set against Charlotte’s advantage in the season statistics, 1/1 remains the single most likely result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte Independence | Naples | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Naples is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 3 pts / match - Naples
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
2.31 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.22 goals / match - Naples
Charlotte Independence scores in 94% of matches (30 of 32 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Naples scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
Over / Under - Naples
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.47 pts / match - Naples
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlotte Independence
Naples
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte Independence | Liga | Naples | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Charlotte Independence 2 - 0 - 2 Naples. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
The USL League One match finished Charlotte Independence 5:1 Naples. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte Independence and Naples?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 2, Naples won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence score 2.31 goals per game on average and Naples 1.22. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 44% of Naples's.
What form are Charlotte Independence and Naples in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Naples 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Charlotte Independence vs Naples: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.