United States - USL League OneData current as of 07 September 2026

Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity: match statistics

125%(2.37)
X20%(3.35)
255%(2.65)

Spokane Velocity is displaying decisively better form with 2 wins in 2 season matches and a goal record of 4:1, while Charlotte Independence has only 1 draw and 0 wins with a 1:1 result. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors - Spokane has earned 6 points (2.0 PPG) with a 'dlwww' series, whereas Charlotte has just 4 points (0.8 PPG) and an 'llldw' series. The difference in quality is also evident in the goal record of the last five matches: the visitors scored 8 goals conceding 6, while the hosts scored 7 but conceded as many as 8. The table position (Charlotte in 12th, Spokane in 2nd) along with a significant advantage in points per game in recent matches indicates a clear edge for the visitors, who should claim all three points in this encounter.

Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Charlotte Independence played Spokane Velocity in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Charlotte Independence: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match. Spokane Velocity: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Charlotte Independence scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Spokane Velocity scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Charlotte Independence 100%, Spokane Velocity 50%. Over 2.5: Charlotte Independence 0%, Spokane Velocity 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.10. Charlotte Independence: 20.0 shots per match, Spokane Velocity: 8.0.

Match halves

Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Spokane Velocity: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Charlotte Independence: 76-90+ (1 goals). Spokane Velocity: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Spokane Velocity is displaying decisively better form with 2 wins in 2 season matches and a goal record of 4:1, while Charlotte Independence has only 1 draw and 0 wins with a 1:1 result. The form from the last 5 matches also favors the visitors - Spokane has earned 6 points (2.0 PPG) with a 'dlwww' series, whereas Charlotte has just 4 points (0.8 PPG) and an 'llldw' series. The difference in quality is also evident in the goal record of the last five matches: the visitors scored 8 goals conceding 6, while the hosts scored 7 but conceded as many as 8. The table position (Charlotte in 12th, Spokane in 2nd) along with a significant advantage in points per game in recent matches indicates a clear edge for the visitors, who should claim all three points in this encounter.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Data from the last 5 matches strongly supports BTTS - Yes: Charlotte has an 80% BTTS rate, while Spokane has 60%. Both teams in this period regularly score goals (averaging 1.4 goals for Charlotte and 1.6 for Spokane), while also conceding a lot (1.6 and 1.2 goals per match respectively). xG metrics from the last 5 matches also suggest goal-scoring opportunities for both sides (xG for: 1.95 vs 1.25), with fairly similar xG against (1.05 vs 1.15), which favors goal exchanges. Additionally, the league has a high BTTS percentage (65%), which boosts the baseline probability. Although some seasonal data for Spokane appears incomplete/unstable (zeros in averages), the more reliable last5 form points to a scenario with goals from both teams.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Data from the last 5 matches indicates an elevated scoring pace: Charlotte averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match (7:8), while Spokane averages 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded (8:6). In terms of xG, Charlotte generates a high last5_xg_for (1.95) with a moderate last5_xg_against (1.05), favoring at least 1-2 goals for the hosts. The overall match profile is strengthened by the league (average 2.71 goals per match) and a high BTTS percentage in the last5 (Charlotte 80%, Spokane 60%), which statistically boosts the chances of at least 2 goals. The estimated expected_goals_total = 2.85 gives a clear advantage for Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line is more 'borderline'. Due to the strongest probabilistic signal and lower risk of result variance, the best betting line is Over 1.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

In their last 5 matches, Spokane has significantly better form (PPG 2.0; 60% wins) than Charlotte (PPG 0.8; 60% losses), which strengthens the scenario of an away win in full-time. First-half data supports Spokane's advantage: a 60% lead at the break and a very solid HT defense (averaging 0.2 goals conceded and 80% clean sheets), while simultaneously highlighting Charlotte's low productivity before halftime (0.4 goals scored and 60% FTS at HT in last5). Charlotte in last5 often trails at halftime (60% trailingAtHT), which increases the probability of the 2/2 outcome and the X/2 variant as an alternative. Additionally, the league has a high percentage of goals in the first half (71% over 0.5), favoring a quick shift in the scoreline towards the away side. The extreme seasonal values (home 100% win, away 0%) appear to be a result of a very small sample size on Spokane's side, hence greater weight was assigned to trends from the last 5 matches.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
16Shots13
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
5Shots on target1
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1.74xG1.36
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
4Corners9
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
54Dangerous attacks65
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
15Fouls8
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Cards2
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals scored / match2
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals conceded / match0.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
61%Average possession44%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
5Shots on target / match3.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

20Shots per match8
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
5Shots on target3.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
5%Shot conversion25%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
61%Possession44%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1.81xG for1.1
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0.94xG against1.4
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Shooting quality

Charlotte Independence: DominantSpokane Velocity: Counter-attacking
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
Accuracy (shots on target)25%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.090.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Spokane Velocity is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 3 pts / match - Spokane Velocity

Charlotte Independence
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%
Spokane Velocity
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Spokane Velocity is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 2 goals / match - Spokane Velocity

Spokane Velocity is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 0.5 goals / match - Spokane Velocity

Charlotte Independence scoring profile: very strong

Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Spokane Velocity keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Spokane Velocity scoring profile: very strong

Spokane Velocity scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

1Goals scored (season)4
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals conceded (season)1
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
2Average goals in match2.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals scored (last 5)4
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%2 goals50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%3 goals50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%4 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%2 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%3 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%4 goals0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

100%
Charlotte Independence - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 1 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Scored in both halves0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
100%BTTS - last 550%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Charlotte Independence - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Spokane Velocity - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)2
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0Goals scored (1st half)1.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
100%No goal before half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
0%No goal after half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity

Charlotte Independence - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Spokane Velocity - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Charlotte Independence - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.003.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Spokane Velocity - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.50
Goals scored / match1.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Charlotte Independence
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Spokane Velocity
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Charlotte Independence

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Spokane Velocity

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.90
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.90
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Charlotte IndependenceLigaSpokane Velocity
Average goals in match 2.002.61 2.50
Both teams scored 100%61% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%50% 50%
Clean sheets 0%25% 50%
Goal before half-time 100%67% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%72% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Spokane VelocityGoalMichael Simon Fitch
  2. Spokane VelocityYellow cardDerek Waldeck
  3. Charlotte IndependenceGoalLuis Daniel Álvarez
  4. Charlotte IndependenceYellow cardChristopher Jaime
  5. Charlotte IndependenceGoalJaven RomeroAssist: Souaibou Marou
  6. Spokane VelocityYellow cardJoe Gallardo
  7. Spokane VelocitySubstitutionOn: Medgy AlexandreOff: Derek Waldeck
  8. Charlotte IndependenceGoalMiles LyonsAssist: Luis Daniel Álvarez
  9. Charlotte IndependenceSubstitutionOn: Matthew ArangoOff: Christopher Jaime

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Charlotte Independence 0 - 1 - 1 Spokane Velocity. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Charlotte Independence
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity FC
Spokane Velocity FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence

FAQ

What was the result of Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity?

The USL League One match finished Charlotte Independence 4:0 Spokane Velocity. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte Independence and Spokane Velocity?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 0, Spokane Velocity won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity?

Charlotte Independence score 1.00 goals per game on average and Spokane Velocity 2.00. The USL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 50% of Spokane Velocity's.

What form are Charlotte Independence and Spokane Velocity in?

Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Spokane Velocity 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity?

The statistical background for Charlotte Independence vs Spokane Velocity — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.