Charlotte vs Nashville SC: match statistics
Charlotte vs Nashville SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlotte played Nashville SC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Charlotte: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nashville SC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlotte scores 2.00 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Nashville SC scores 2.17 and concedes 0.50. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlotte 67%, Nashville SC 33%. Over 2.5: Charlotte 67%, Nashville SC 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.38. Charlotte: 12.0 shots per match, Nashville SC: 12.2.
Match halves
Charlotte: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.50. Nashville SC: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Charlotte: 76-90+ (4 goals). Nashville SC: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte is the favorite in this matchup: at home they average 2.75 goals per game and have a 75% home win rate, while Nashville on the road scores only 0.33 goals on average and fails to score in 67% of away matches. The hosts have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and won 3 of them; at home they average 15 shots and 7.75 on target per game with an 18% shot-to-goal conversion rate. The visitors have a very solid away defence (0.33 goals conceded on average and 67% clean sheets), but their away xG is only 0.97 and their shot efficiency is 4%, which significantly limits their attacking potential. The gap in quality of chances (xG 1.71 for Charlotte at home vs 0.97 for Nashville away) combined with the higher volume of shots and shots on target for the hosts favours a Charlotte win; I therefore assess probabilities as 70% for the home side, 18% for a draw and 12% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Charlotte at home generates an average xG of 1.79, averages 7.33 shots on target and has a conversion rate of 25%, translating to a home goals-per-game of 4.0 (12 goals scored). Nashville away has low offensive efficiency: xG 0.97, only 3.0 shots on target and a 4% conversion, while recording a season clean sheet rate of 67% and a season BTTS of 0%. In the last 5 matches Charlotte averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, whereas Nashville averaged 1.4 scored and only 0.4 conceded, suggesting Charlotte will dominate offensively but Nashville rarely concedes. Considering Charlotte’s offensive advantage (xG 1.79 vs 0.97) and Nashville’s very strong defensive away stats (67% clean sheets, 0% BTTS), the more likely scenario is No Goal/Goal not occurring; I propose 70% for “No” and 30% for “BTTS - Yes.”
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG estimate yields an expected 1.38 goals for Charlotte and 0.96 for Nashville (total 2.34) — calculated as the average of team xG-for and opponent xG-against (Charlotte xG-for 1.79 vs Nashville xG-against 0.97; Nashville xG-for 0.97 vs Charlotte xG-against 0.94). Charlotte averages 16.0 shots with 7.33 on target and a 25% conversion rate, while Nashville averages 8.33 shots with 3.0 on target and only a 4% conversion rate, which increases the likelihood of home goals. This season Charlotte’s matches are 100% over 1.5 goals and 100% over 2.5 goals, and in their last five home fixtures the hosts hit Over 2.5 in 80% (Charlotte scored 11 goals in the last 5). Considering the combined forecast of 2.34 goals and the league average of 3.12, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (I estimate probability ~92%), while Over 2.5 also makes sense (~70%), and Over 3.5 looks too risky (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Charlotte led at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and has scored a total of 8 first-half goals, averaging 2.33 goals before halftime, while Nashville averages 0.00 goals at the break. Over full matches the home side averages 4.0 goals with xG 1.79, and the visitors only 0.33 goals with xG 0.97, indicating a clear advantage in chance creation. Charlotte averages 16.0 shots and 7.33 shots on target per match versus Nashville’s 8.33 and 3.0, and shot conversion is 25% compared to 4%, confirming the hosts’ finishing efficiency. Additionally, Charlotte has a 100% home win rate and a low goals-conceded average of 0.67 per match, while Nashville rarely scores, so the most likely outcome is the home side leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlotte | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Charlotte · 2.17 goals / match - Nashville SC
Nashville SC is 134% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Charlotte · 0.5 goals / match - Nashville SC
Charlotte scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Nashville SC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Charlotte keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlotte
Over / Under - Nashville SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Charlotte · 1.83 pts / match - Nashville SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlotte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlotte
Nashville SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Charlotte | Liga | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.17 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
The MLS match finished Charlotte 1:2 Nashville SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
Charlotte score 2.00 goals per game on average and Nashville SC 2.17. The MLS average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Charlotte's matches and 33% of Nashville SC's.
What form are Charlotte and Nashville SC in?
Over the last 5 games Charlotte have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nashville SC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
The statistical background for Charlotte vs Nashville SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.