Charlton Athletic vs Derby County: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a highly competitive fixture between Charlton Athletic and Derby County. The hosts boast solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), yet their recent form is concerning (only 1 win in the last 5 matches). Derby County possesses a superior away record (46% wins) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 9%), though their away defense proves more porous (averaging 1.15 goals conceded). A pivotal factor is the poor form of both squads over their last five encounters (Charlton: 1-2-2, Derby: 2-0-3), suggesting a potential stalemate. xG metrics favor the hosts (1.44 vs 1.01), but Derby compensates with superior clinicality. Considering all factors, a draw or a marginal advantage for either side appears the most likely outcome.
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Charlton Athletic played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Charlton Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Derby County: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Charlton Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.33 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Charlton Athletic 50%, Derby County 70%. Over 2.5: Charlton Athletic 38%, Derby County 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Charlton Athletic has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.16. Charlton Athletic: 11.4 shots per match, Derby County: 9.8.
Match halves
Charlton Athletic: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65. Derby County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Charlton Athletic: 76-90+ (9 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a highly competitive fixture between Charlton Athletic and Derby County. The hosts boast solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), yet their recent form is concerning (only 1 win in the last 5 matches). Derby County possesses a superior away record (46% wins) and a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 9%), though their away defense proves more porous (averaging 1.15 goals conceded). A pivotal factor is the poor form of both squads over their last five encounters (Charlton: 1-2-2, Derby: 2-0-3), suggesting a potential stalemate. xG metrics favor the hosts (1.44 vs 1.01), but Derby compensates with superior clinicality. Considering all factors, a draw or a marginal advantage for either side appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Charlton Athletic | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derby County is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Charlton Athletic · 1.4 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Charlton Athletic · 1.33 goals / match - Derby County
Charlton Athletic is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Charlton Athletic · 1.3 goals / match - Derby County
Charlton Athletic scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Derby County scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Charlton Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Charlton Athletic
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Charlton Athletic · 1.41 pts / match - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Charlton Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Charlton Athletic
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Charlton Athletic | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.59 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Charlton Athletic 0 - 1 - 0 Derby County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Charlton Athletic 1:2 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
Charlton Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.33. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Charlton Athletic's matches and 70% of Derby County's.
What form are Charlton Athletic and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Charlton Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Derby County 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.