Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen: match statistics
Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Châteauroux played Quevilly Rouen in National (France). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 3:5.
Current form
Châteauroux: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Quevilly Rouen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Châteauroux scores 1.00 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Quevilly Rouen scores 0.96 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Châteauroux 54%, Quevilly Rouen 58%. Over 2.5: Châteauroux 50%, Quevilly Rouen 54%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Châteauroux has higher xG: 1.24 vs 0.97. Châteauroux: 10.1 shots per match, Quevilly Rouen: 7.2.
Match halves
Châteauroux: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.50. Quevilly Rouen: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Châteauroux: 0-15 (7 goals). Quevilly Rouen: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I give a slight edge to Châteauroux due to superior chance creation: home xG averages 1.33 versus 0.97 for Quevilly, hosts average 11.15 shots per game against 7.77 for the visitors and maintain 54% possession versus 42% for the away side. However, both teams have low finishing — each averages 0.85 goals per game and have very similar season goal totals (26 vs 25), so the advantage in chance creation does not guarantee a high score. Form supports the home advantage: Châteauroux averages 1.4 points per game over the last 5 with 2 wins, while Quevilly averages 0.8 points with 1 win; the visitors have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches versus 6 for the hosts. Still, the high share of Châteauroux matches without a goal at home (54%) and the fact that hosts concede 1.46 goals at home while visitors concede 1.54 on the road reduce forecast certainty and increase the risk of a draw or low-scoring affair. Based on this, I back a home win with an estimated probability distribution: home 50%, draw 30%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
From a BTTS perspective the signal is strong: Châteauroux has 69% of matches with both teams scoring, Quevilly 46%, and the league average is 54%, which favors the "both teams to score" option. Both sides have similar chance-creation metrics — xG 0.96 (Châteauroux) vs 0.97 (Quevilly) and average goals scored 1.08 vs 0.85 — yet both concede heavily: 1.46 and 1.54 goals per match, supporting Goal/Goal outcomes. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred for both teams in 60% of cases; Châteauroux scored and conceded 6 goals in those 5 games (avg. 1.2/1.2), while Quevilly scored 6 and conceded 9 (avg. 1.2/1.8), so the visitors are more exposed to defensive lapses. Clean sheets are rare — only 8% for Châteauroux and 23% for Quevilly — which in a simple estimate (92%×77%) yields about a 71% chance that both sides will score at least once. Given these specific figures (69% vs 46% BTTS, 1.46 and 1.54 conceded, xG 0.96 and 0.97, recent 60% L5) I assign BTTS 71% vs 29% and recommend the 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Châteauroux averages 1.08 goals per match, Quevilly 0.85, yielding a seasonal average of 1.93, but xG of 0.96 (home) and 0.97 (away) together with defensive comparisons (away teams concede 1.43 xG on average, home teams 1.35) suggest an adjusted 1.20 goals for the home side and 1.16 for the visitors, totaling 2.36. Both teams have high Over 1.5 rates: 77% (home) and 69% (away), and additionally hosts concede on average 1.46, visitors 1.54 goals per match, so the Over 1.5 signal is strong and I assess its probability at 84%. Over 2.5 is more balanced because seasonal Over 2.5 is 54% for both teams, and the last 5 matches show 40% (home) and 60% (away), therefore I estimate a 55% chance for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 looks unlikely: seasonal Over 3.5 is 23% and 15%, and the projected total of 2.36 goals does not support that level, so I assign Over 3.5 only 18%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). The home team drew at the break in 38% of matches, and Châteauroux matches finished level in 46% of cases, which provides strong support for a draw both at the break and at full-time. xG is virtually even – 0.96 for the hosts versus 0.97 for Quevilly Rouen – and average goals before the break are only 0.62 vs 0.54, so neither side has a clear attacking edge. Additionally, the hosts average 2.54 shots on target against 3.08 for the visitors with conversion rates of 16% versus 11%, indicating a moderate number of chances and low finishing efficiency. Considering these figures (38% draws at half-time, 46% draws at full-time, similar xG), X/X is the strongest and most consistent signal to play.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Châteauroux | Quevilly Rouen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Châteauroux is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Châteauroux · 0.8 pts / match - Quevilly Rouen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Châteauroux is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Châteauroux · 1.5 goals / match - Quevilly Rouen
Châteauroux scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Quevilly Rouen keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Quevilly Rouen scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Châteauroux keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Châteauroux
Over / Under - Quevilly Rouen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Châteauroux is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Châteauroux · 1.04 pts / match - Quevilly Rouen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Châteauroux - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Quevilly Rouen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Châteauroux
Quevilly Rouen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Châteauroux | Liga | Quevilly Rouen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.31 | 2.40 | • 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Châteauroux 1 - 0 - 0 Quevilly Rouen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen?
The National match finished Châteauroux 3:5 Quevilly Rouen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen?
Châteauroux score 1.00 goals per game on average and Quevilly Rouen 0.96. The National average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Châteauroux's matches and 58% of Quevilly Rouen's.
What form are Châteauroux and Quevilly Rouen in?
Over the last 5 games Châteauroux have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Quevilly Rouen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen?
The statistical background for Châteauroux vs Quevilly Rouen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.