Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II: match statistics
Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga FC played Atlanta United II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Chattanooga FC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Atlanta United II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga FC scores 1.90 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Atlanta United II scores 2.20 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga FC 62%, Atlanta United II 60%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga FC 57%, Atlanta United II 70%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta United II has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.68. Chattanooga FC: 13.7 shots per match, Atlanta United II: 16.6.
Match halves
Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.90. Atlanta United II: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (11 goals). Atlanta United II: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chattanooga FC are unbeaten in their last five matches, collecting 11 points during that run, while Atlanta United II have earned 10 points. The hosts have been particularly strong at home: they win 64% of their matches, average 2.09 goals scored and just 1.09 conceded, and boast a +11 goal difference. Atlanta lose as many as 50% of their away games. Although they generate an average xG of 1.84, they score only 1.70 goals per match and fail to score in 30% of their fixtures away from home. Chattanooga’s defence has also improved recently, conceding just 2 goals in their last five matches while scoring 8. The visitors possess attacking potential, as shown by their 11 goals in their last five games, but the hosts’ superior home organisation and finishing efficiency make them the stronger pick to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is primarily supported by Chattanooga’s attacking profile, with the team averaging 2.7 goals per game this season, an xG of 1.95 and 6.4 shots on target per match. Atlanta United II also creates chances consistently, recording an average xG of 1.84, 6.0 shots on target and 2.2 goals scored across their last five matches. The hosts have recorded BTTS in 70% of their league matches, well above the league average of 62%, while both teams have kept a clean sheet in only 20% of matches. Atlanta concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, whereas Chattanooga, despite excellent recent defensive results, still allows opponents an xG of 1.43 over their last five matches. Chattanooga’s recent run with BTTS landing in only 40% of games lowers confidence in the selection, but the superior quality of both attacks compared with the defensive stability points towards a scenario in which each side finds the net. This supports BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal, not BTTS - No: BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score and does not automatically imply a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chattanooga averages 2.7 goals per match, while Atlanta United II averages 1.7, with both teams conceding 1.7 and 1.6 goals, respectively. The 1.5-goal line has been covered in 90% of the hosts’ matches and in all of the visitors’ games, providing a very strong common signal. Creative potential also points toward goals: average xG stands at 1.95 for Chattanooga and 1.84 for Atlanta, while the teams record 6.4 and 6.0 shots on target per match, respectively. The hosts’ recent form has been more defensive, as they have conceded only 0.4 goals per game across their last five appearances, with Over 2.5 landing in just 20% of cases. Therefore, the advantage for Over 2.5 is considerably weaker. The safest pick remains Over 1.5, supported by a projected 3.00 goals and a league average of 3.28 goals per match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chattanooga FC has the stronger profile for an outright win: they average 2.7 goals scored, while Atlanta United II concede 1.6, and the hosts have won 60% of their matches compared with a 50% defeat rate for the visitors. The hosts led at the break in 5 of 10 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals before half-time, while Atlanta conceded just 0.5 goals in this period away from home, which still gives the hosts a realistic chance of taking a narrow lead. The strongest argument for maintaining that advantage comes in the second half: Chattanooga score 1.7 goals per game after the interval, while Atlanta lose this half in 60% of their appearances. In their last five matches, the hosts have conceded just 2 goals in total, averaging 0.4 per game, and remain unbeaten. Atlanta can start matches quickly, leading at half-time in 80% of their last five games, so a draw at half-time followed by a Chattanooga win remains a strong alternative; however, 1/1 is the most complete HT/FT option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga FC | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga FC is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 2 pts / match - Atlanta United II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta United II is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 2.2 goals / match - Atlanta United II
Chattanooga FC is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.65 goals / match - Atlanta United II
Chattanooga FC scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Atlanta United II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Atlanta United II scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chattanooga FC
Over / Under - Atlanta United II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlanta United II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga FC
Atlanta United II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga FC | Liga | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.33 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.85 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Chattanooga FC 0 - 3 - 0 Atlanta United II. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chattanooga FC 1:0 Atlanta United II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chattanooga FC and Atlanta United II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Chattanooga FC won 0, Atlanta United II won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
Chattanooga FC score 1.90 goals per game on average and Atlanta United II 2.20. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 60% of Atlanta United II's.
What form are Chattanooga FC and Atlanta United II in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Atlanta United II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The statistical background for Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.