United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 22 October 2026

Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Chattanooga FC play Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Chattanooga FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Connecticut United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Chattanooga FC scores 2.03 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 2.07 and concedes 1.79. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Chattanooga FC 66%, Connecticut United 76%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga FC 62%, Connecticut United 79%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Chattanooga FC has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.65. Chattanooga FC: 14.4 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.2.

Match halves

Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.10. Connecticut United: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (13 goals). Connecticut United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
2.03Goals scored / match2.07
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.38Goals conceded / match1.79
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Average possession43%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5.83Shots on target / match5.72
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.38Shots per match13.21
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5.83Shots on target5.72
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
14.1%Shot conversion15.7%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Possession43%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.72xG for1.65
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.47xG against1.37
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Shooting quality

Chattanooga FC: Counter-attackingConnecticut United: Counter-attacking
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chattanooga FC is 150% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.2 pts / match - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
55% W24% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-6
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-2-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Connecticut United
LLLWW
Season result split
52% W7% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-2-12
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-1-6
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chattanooga FC is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.79 goals / match - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC scoring profile: very strong

Chattanooga FC scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

59Goals scored (season)60
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
40Goals conceded (season)52
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
3.41Average goals in match3.86
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
15Goals scored (last 5)11
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal86%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
55%2 goals59%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
31%3 goals34%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
21%4 goals17%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal86%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
38%2 goals62%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
14%3 goals17%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
10%4 goals14%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

76%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.22 of 29 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time38%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
7%BTTS in both halves14%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
41%Scored in both halves48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS76%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
80%BTTS - last 560%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time62%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chattanooga FC is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.48 pts / match - Connecticut United

Chattanooga FC - half-time state
48% leading31% draw21% trailing
Connecticut United - half-time state
38% leading34% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per match (1st half)1.48
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.97
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.66
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
62%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
34%No goal before half-time31%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.66Points per match (2nd half)1.31
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
2.03Average goals (2nd half)2
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
45%Clean sheet after half-time34%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United
31%No goal after half-time38%
Chattanooga FCConnecticut United

Chattanooga FC - second-half results

48% W21% D31% L
51
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connecticut United - second-half results

34% W28% D38% L
43
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chattanooga FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.203.00
Goals scored / match0.82.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Connecticut United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.8
Average goals in match1.23.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Chattanooga FC
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
13
3
31-45
12
9
46-60
10
9
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
9
9
16-30
11
9
31-45
7
9
46-60
8
10
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Chattanooga FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Chattanooga FCLigaConnecticut United
Average goals in match• 3.413.34▲ 3.86
Both teams scored▲ 66%64%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 62%67%▲ 79%
Clean sheets▲ 28%20%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%76%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.90
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Chattanooga FC 1 - 0 - 0 Connecticut United. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Chattanooga FC
4 : 2
Connecticut United

FAQ

When do Chattanooga FC and Connecticut United play?

Chattanooga FC face Connecticut United on 25 October 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United?

Chattanooga FC score 2.03 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 2.07. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 76% of Connecticut United's.

What form are Chattanooga FC and Connecticut United in?

Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Connecticut United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United?

The statistical background for Chattanooga FC vs Connecticut United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.