Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II: match statistics
Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga FC played New York RB II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 6 June 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Chattanooga FC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. New York RB II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga FC scores 1.75 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. New York RB II scores 2.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga FC 67%, New York RB II 92%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga FC 67%, New York RB II 75%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB II has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.60. Chattanooga FC: 13.5 shots per match, New York RB II: 15.3.
Match halves
Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. New York RB II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (5 goals). New York RB II: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match: xG values are virtually identical (Chattanooga xG 1.66 at home vs 1.67 xG New York RB II away), suggesting comparable offensive potential. The hosts score 1.83 goals per home match with a 14% conversion rate; in their last 5 fixtures they have won 3 and average 1.8 points per match, but concede 1.5 goals per home game. The visitors score 1.6 goals away, while their season-long defense is superior — conceding only 1.0 goal on average away, with 0% away defeats and a 60% away win rate, and they have scored 26 goals this season versus the hosts’ 21. Both teams have scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches; additionally New York RB II has 0% FTS (matches without a goal) away while Chattanooga has 17% FTS at home, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on this, I predict a draw as the most probable result, with an estimated distribution of 36% home win, 40% draw and 24% away win, because the visitors’ defensive advantages and the hosts’ better form and efficiency at home largely offset each other.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show very strong BTTS signals: Chattanooga has BTTS in 86% of matches this season, while New York RB II in 100% of games. Seasonal goals averages indicate hosts score more (2.57 goals per match) than visitors (1.6), with hosts conceding 1.57 goals per match and visitors 1.0, meaning both sides have offensive potential and susceptibility to conceding. In the last 5 matches Chattanooga had BTTS in 60% of games and NYRB II in 100%; across those five fixtures both teams averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded 1.8 goals. xG and shot data confirm an attacking profile: attacking xG is 1.99 for Chattanooga versus 1.67 for NYRB II; hosts average 16.57 shots (6.29 on target) vs. 13.4 (5.6 on target) for visitors, with higher shot conversion 16% vs. 12%. Additionally, visitors have 0% clean sheets this season and hosts only 14%, while the league averages 3.23 goals per match; based on this the optimal pick is BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a moderately high-scoring match: projected xG is 1.62 for Chattanooga (attack xG 1.99 and xG conceded vs opponent 1.25) and 1.52 for New York RB II (attack xG 1.67 and xG conceded vs hosts 1.37), totaling about 3.14 goals. Match-level figures confirm an offensive approach: Chattanooga scores 2.57 goals per game and concedes 1.57, while New York RB II scores 1.60 and concedes 1.00; additionally the hosts average 6.29 shots on target with a 16% conversion versus 5.6 shots on target and 12% conversion for the visitors. Over statistics and both-teams-to-score rates are strong: both teams have season-long Over 1.5 at 100%, Over 2.5 is 86% for Chattanooga and 60% for NYRB II, and BTTS rates are 86% and 100% respectively. Based on average xG (3.14), season Over 2.5 rates (mean of 86% and 60% ≈ 73%) and the last 5 matches where Over 2.5 occurred in 60% (hosts) and 80% (guests), the strongest and most reliable play is Over 2.5 goals. The risk of exceeding 3.5 is moderate, since Chattanooga has season Over 3.5 at 71% while NYRB II has 0%, therefore I assign roughly a 34% chance for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: the home team leads at half-time and wins the match. Chattanooga lead at the break in 43% of matches versus 20% for New York RB II, with average first-half goals of 1.29 for the home side against 0.60 for the visitors, which strongly supports a home lead at half-time. Over 90 minutes Chattanooga average 2.57 goals per match with xG 1.99, while the visitors average 1.60 goals with xG 1.67, and the home side’s shot conversion is 16% versus 12% for the guests — indicating higher home efficiency across the full match. Additionally, both teams frequently score (BTTS 86% for the home side and 100% for the visitors), so the most likely scenario is a home lead at the break and a home victory after regular time (e.g. 2:1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga FC | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga FC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.4 pts / match - New York RB II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 2.17 goals / match - New York RB II
New York RB II is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.33 goals / match - New York RB II
Chattanooga FC scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
New York RB II scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chattanooga FC
Over / Under - New York RB II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.58 pts / match - New York RB II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga FC
New York RB II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga FC | Liga | New York RB II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 92% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chattanooga FC 0 - 0 - 1 New York RB II. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chattanooga FC 4:0 New York RB II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II?
Chattanooga FC score 1.75 goals per game on average and New York RB II 2.17. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 92% of New York RB II's.
What form are Chattanooga FC and New York RB II in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and New York RB II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chattanooga FC vs New York RB II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.