Chattanooga FC vs Philadelphia Union II: match statistics
Chattanooga FC vs Philadelphia Union II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga FC played Philadelphia Union II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Chattanooga FC: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Philadelphia Union II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga FC scores 1.84 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Philadelphia Union II scores 1.11 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga FC 68%, Philadelphia Union II 47%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga FC 58%, Philadelphia Union II 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Chattanooga FC has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.22. Chattanooga FC: 13.7 shots per match, Philadelphia Union II: 10.3.
Match halves
Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89. Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (9 goals). Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chattanooga FC holds a clear statistical advantage at home, so I back them to win. The hosts average 1.9 goals per home match (35 goals this season) with home xG of 1.78, while Philadelphia Union II score only 1.11 goals on the road with xG 1.04. Chattanooga averages 14.3 shots and 6.0 shots on target per home game versus Union II’s 9.67 shots and 2.89 on target away, with similar conversion rates of 13% vs 11%. Defensively, the hosts concede 1.2 goals at home and keep 40% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.56 away and have just 11% clean sheets; additionally Union II fail to score in 44% of away matches and have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 games. Chattanooga also have a 60% home win rate compared to Philadelphia’s 33% away win rate, and the hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 (1 win, 4 draws), which supports a back-the-home-win (1) selection.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 50% (Chattanooga) and 44% (Philadelphia), while the league average is 61%, indicating BTTS has been common this season. In the last 5 matches Chattanooga records BTTS in 80% of games, whereas Philadelphia only in 20%, but Philadelphia concedes an average of 1.56 goals per match this season and has xG against of 2.3 over the last 5, indicating vulnerability in the visitors’ defense. Chattanooga generates 1.36 xG and 4.3 shots on target per match with an average of 1.1 goals scored, while Philadelphia has xG 1.04 and 2.89 shots on target and averages 1.11 goals, which means the home side creates more chances. Rare clean sheets for Philadelphia (11% clean sheets) versus the hosts’ 30% and a combined xG around 2.4 (1.36+1.04) lead to the conclusion that at least one goal from both sides is likely. On this basis I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 68% versus 32% for No, because the combination of a combined xG of 2.4, league BTTS 61% and 80% of the hosts’ recent matches being BTTS forms the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 — combined expected xG is 2.86 (xG: Chattanooga 1.61 vs Philadelphia II 1.25), which is clearly above the 1.5 line. Season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 50% for Chattanooga and 78% for Philadelphia II (average 64%), and the league average goals is 3.22 per match, further supporting at least two goals. Philadelphia II has a high xG against of 1.86 and in the last 5 matches xG against 2.3, while Chattanooga in the last 5 has xG for 1.77 and 4.3 shots on target — this indicates greater chances for the home side to score and defensive vulnerabilities for the visitors. Considering these figures I assign Over 1.5 a probability of 84%, Over 2.5 62% (seasonal Over 2.5: 40% and 56%, average 48%, but combined xG 2.86 approaches the 2.5 line) and Over 3.5 only 27% (seasonal 10% and 22%, and 2.86 < 3.5). Therefore I back Over 1.5 as the strongest signal based on xG, shot statistics and Philadelphia II’s weaker defense.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chattanooga led at the break in 4 matches (40%) and averages 0.7 goals at half-time while conceding only 0.2, keeping a half-time clean sheet in 80% of games, which gives them a strong First-Half position. Philadelphia Union II scores just 0.33 goals by the break and were trailing at half-time in 5 matches (56%), but they stage turnarounds after the break — averaging 1.67 goals in the Second-Half and winning 33% of Second-Halves; their goals are concentrated in minutes 61–75 (4) and 76–90 (2). The hosts create more chances: xG 1.36 versus 1.04 and 4.3 shots on target per match versus 2.89 for the visitors, which supports Chattanooga maintaining a lead. At the same time, the high share of draws for the hosts in their last 5 matches (80% draws) and Philadelphia’s post-break activity justify a significant contribution of full-time draws (X/X and 1/X). On this basis the strongest signal is the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1), assigned a probability of 25%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga FC | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga FC is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.84 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.11 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.21 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Chattanooga FC scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Philadelphia Union II scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chattanooga FC
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga FC is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.21 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga FC
Philadelphia Union II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga FC | Liga | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 84% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Chattanooga FC 0 - 2 - 0 Philadelphia Union II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga FC vs Philadelphia Union II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chattanooga FC 4:0 Philadelphia Union II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chattanooga FC and Philadelphia Union II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Chattanooga FC won 0, Philadelphia Union II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs Philadelphia Union II?
Chattanooga FC score 1.84 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union II 1.11. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 47% of Philadelphia Union II's.
What form are Chattanooga FC and Philadelphia Union II in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Philadelphia Union II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs Philadelphia Union II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.