Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów: match statistics
Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chełmianka Chełm played Naprzód Jędrzejów in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Chełmianka Chełm: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Naprzód Jędrzejów: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chełmianka Chełm scores 1.91 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Naprzód Jędrzejów scores 1.41 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chełmianka Chełm 56%, Naprzód Jędrzejów 50%. Over 2.5: Chełmianka Chełm 47%, Naprzód Jędrzejów 47%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Chełmianka Chełm has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.21. Chełmianka Chełm: 2.6 shots per match, Naprzód Jędrzejów: 3.2.
Match halves
Chełmianka Chełm: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.66. Naprzód Jędrzejów: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Chełmianka Chełm: 0-15 (29 goals). Naprzód Jędrzejów: 0-15 (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chełmianka Chełm holds a clear offensive advantage: 61 goals scored this season versus Naprzód’s 45, and 13 goals in the last 5 matches compared to just 3 by the visitors. At home the hosts average 19 shots per match (8.5 on target), maintain 60% possession and a 26% conversion rate, while Naprzód on the road records 9.33 shots (4.11 on target), 50% possession and a 17% conversion. Form strongly favors Chełmianka — last 5 matches: 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, whereas Naprzód has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game. Defensively the hosts concede 0.75 goals at home on average (xG against 1.03), while the visitors concede 1.63 goals away (xG against 1.49); additionally Naprzód fail to score in 25% of away matches versus 6% for the hosts. Considering the xG advantage (2.18 vs 1.26), higher shot volume and current form (13 goals vs 3 in the last 5), I forecast a home win: 70% home victory, 20% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams record BTTS at 50% this season individually, but the league rate of matches where both teams score is 59%, supporting a "yes" scenario. Chełmianka averages 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches and had BTTS in 60% of those games; seasonally they have scored 61 and conceded 30, averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Naprzód scores 1.19 and concedes 1.63 on the season, registers more shots on target (4.11 vs 2.75) and higher conversion (17% vs 11%), and xG 1.26 vs 1.11 shows the away side can create chances, despite averaging only 0.6 goals in the last 5 and a 40% BTTS rate. Clean sheets are rare — home clean sheets 19% (concede in 81% of matches), away 25% (concede in 75% of matches) — which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering the league 59% rate, recent form 2.6 vs 0.6 and the shots/xG profile, I tip BTTS - Yes at 62% vs 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data I estimate total expected goals at 2.50: home xG 1.11 and away xG 1.26, with xG conceded at 1.15 (Chełmianka) and 1.49 (Naprzód), yielding estimated 1.30 goals for the home side and 1.20 for the away side. Seasonally both teams combine for 2.82 goals per match (1.63 + 1.19), and the percentage of matches over 1.5 is 63% for Chełmianka and 75% for Naprzód, which strongly supports a scenario of at least 2 goals. Both sides have a 50% chance to score (BTTS 50%/50%), Naprzód averages 4.11 shots on target versus Chełmianka’s 2.75 and has a higher conversion rate 17% vs 11%, so there is potential for goals from both teams. A Poisson simulation with lambda=2.50 yields a probability of over 1.5 around 71%, while probability of over 2.5 is about 46% (consistent with seasonal 44%/50%), and over 3.5 is only about 24%. Therefore the strongest and safest signal is over 1.5 — I recommend backing Over 1.5, because the expected 2.50 goals, high seasonal Over 1.5 rates (63%/75%) and 50% BTTS provide an edge to this market side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I assess the most likely scenario as X/1 (draw at half-time, home win). Chełmianka drew at the break in 75% of their last five matches (4 of 5) and went on to win 60% of those games (3 of 5), averaging 1.0 goal in the first half and 1.5 goals in the second. Naprzód have 0% wins in their last five and score only 0.6 goals per game on average, which undermines their ability to maintain a lead. Over the season the visitors have slightly higher xG (1.26 vs 1.11) and more shots on target (4.11 vs 2.75), but also concede more xG (1.49 vs 1.15 for the hosts); given Chełmianka’s stronger second-half form, I assign a 33% probability to X/1, 14% to 1/1 and 12% to X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chełmianka Chełm | Naprzód Jędrzejów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 2.77 | 1.55 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chełmianka Chełm is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 0.8 pts / match - Naprzód Jędrzejów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chełmianka Chełm is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.41 goals / match - Naprzód Jędrzejów
Chełmianka Chełm is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.56 goals / match - Naprzód Jędrzejów
Chełmianka Chełm scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Naprzód Jędrzejów keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Naprzód Jędrzejów scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Chełmianka Chełm keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chełmianka Chełm
Over / Under - Naprzód Jędrzejów
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chełmianka Chełm is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.16 pts / match - Naprzód Jędrzejów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chełmianka Chełm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Naprzód Jędrzejów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (29 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chełmianka Chełm
Naprzód Jędrzejów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Chełmianka Chełm | Liga | Naprzód Jędrzejów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.84 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chełmianka Chełm 1 - 0 - 0 Naprzód Jędrzejów. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Chełmianka Chełm 2:0 Naprzód Jędrzejów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów?
Chełmianka Chełm score 1.91 goals per game on average and Naprzód Jędrzejów 1.41. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Chełmianka Chełm's matches and 50% of Naprzód Jędrzejów's.
What form are Chełmianka Chełm and Naprzód Jędrzejów in?
Over the last 5 games Chełmianka Chełm have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Naprzód Jędrzejów 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów?
The statistical background for Chełmianka Chełm vs Naprzód Jędrzejów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.