Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice: match statistics
Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chełmianka Chełm play Star Starachowice in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Chełmianka Chełm: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Star Starachowice: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chełmianka Chełm scores 1.91 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Star Starachowice scores 1.50 and concedes 1.26. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chełmianka Chełm 56%, Star Starachowice 59%. Over 2.5: Chełmianka Chełm 47%, Star Starachowice 47%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Chełmianka Chełm has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.42. Chełmianka Chełm: 2.4 shots per match, Star Starachowice: 8.6.
Match halves
Chełmianka Chełm: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.65. Star Starachowice: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Chełmianka Chełm: 0-15 (31 goals). Star Starachowice: 0-15 (29 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Chełmianka Chełm holds a clear home advantage: they win 71% of home matches, score on average 2.0 goals per game and record an average xG of 2.18, while conceding only 0.71 goals per game. The hosts generate a high volume of chances — on average 19 shots and 8.5 on target at home with a strong shot conversion rate of 26% — whereas Starachowice on the road average 11.17 shots, 3.83 on target and only 9% conversion with xG 1.34. Additionally, Chełmianka scores in virtually every match (failed to score in only 7% of home games), while the visitors fail to score in 29% of away matches and concede on average 1.21 goals away. In the last 5 matches Starachowice have a better points return (2.0 points vs 1.6 points for Chełmianka), but the gap in quality of chances (xG 2.18 vs 1.34), possession (60% vs 47%) and shots on target (8.5 vs 3.83) gives the hosts a clear edge. Consequently I predict a home win as the most likely outcome, with estimated probabilities of 70% for Chełmianka, 18% for a draw and 12% for a Starachowice win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chełmianka Chełm | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.67 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.24 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chełmianka Chełm is 550% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 0.4 pts / match - Star Starachowice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chełmianka Chełm is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.5 goals / match - Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.26 goals / match - Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Star Starachowice keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Star Starachowice scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Chełmianka Chełm keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chełmianka Chełm
Over / Under — Star Starachowice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chełmianka Chełm is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.38 pts / match - Star Starachowice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chełmianka Chełm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Star Starachowice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (31 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (29 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chełmianka Chełm
Star Starachowice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Chełmianka Chełm | Liga | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 3.13 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chełmianka Chełm 0 - 1 - 0 Star Starachowice. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Chełmianka Chełm 5:2 Star Starachowice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
Chełmianka Chełm score 1.91 goals per game on average and Star Starachowice 1.50. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Chełmianka Chełm's matches and 59% of Star Starachowice's.
What form are Chełmianka Chełm and Star Starachowice in?
Over the last 5 games Chełmianka Chełm have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Star Starachowice 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
The statistical background for Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.