Chełmianka Chełm vs Wieczysta Kraków II: match statistics

Chełmianka Chełm are enjoying an outstanding run: they have won all 5 matches so far, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 1. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their games, averaging 2.0 goals per match while allowing opponents just 0.5 goals, and they have kept a clean sheet in half of their home appearances. Wieczysta Kraków II have a record of just 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with an identical tally of 8 goals scored and conceded. The visitors pose an attacking threat away from home, also averaging 2.0 goals, but their xG stands at 0.97, while they allow chances worth 1.12 xG and concede an average of 1.33 goals. Chełmianka’s clearly superior consistency and highly solid defence strongly support a home win.

The signal for both sides to score is supported by the season data: Chełmianka recorded BTTS in 100% of matches, while Wieczysta II did so in 67%, compared with the league average of 57%. The hosts have not kept a single clean sheet, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match, while the visitors score an average of 2.00 goals. However, Chełmianka scores only 1.00 goal per game, and Wieczysta II kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches, which clearly limits confidence in the selection. In their last five appearances, the hosts conceded just 0.20 goals per match and BTTS landed in only 20% of their games, but their average of 2.00 goals scored and the visitors’ 80% BTTS rate keep the “Yes” scenario marginally more likely.

Chełmianka are in excellent form over their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and conceding just 0.2, while Wieczysta II have conceded 1.6 goals per game during this period. The visitors’ attacking potential is limited by the hosts’ solid defence, as their average xG stands at 1.13, while Chełmianka allow opponents an xG of just 1.05. The hosts may take control of the match, but their average xG across their last five appearances is only 1.01, which in itself does not point to a particularly high-scoring game. Although 80% of Wieczysta II’s recent matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, the expected total of 2.25 goals and Chełmianka’s strong defensive run clearly support the Under 3.5 goals option.

Chełmianka are in outstanding recent form, having won their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.2 per game. The signal from the first halves is particularly strong, as the hosts led at the break in 100% of their latest matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored before half-time and conceding none. Wieczysta II were trailing at half-time in 67% of their recent appearances, with first-half averages of just 0.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Although the visitors have a higher season average of 2.0 goals per match, Chełmianka’s current run and dominance before the break provide the strongest rationale for the hosts to take the lead and maintain it through to full-time in the HT/FT market.