Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chelsea played AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stamford Bridge. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Chelsea: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chelsea scores 2.00 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chelsea 80%, AFC Bournemouth 80%. Over 2.5: Chelsea 100%, AFC Bournemouth 60%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Chelsea has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.51. Chelsea: 14.4 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.6.
Match halves
Chelsea: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Chelsea: 0-15 (5 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chelsea are 10th in the table, while Bournemouth are 17th. At home, Chelsea have averaged 3 goals per match, compared with Bournemouth’s 1.5 goals per game away from home. Chelsea also create more chances: their home xG is 1.70, compared with Bournemouth’s away xG of 1.19, while their average shots on target are 6.5 and 4.5 respectively. The hosts’ advantage is tempered by a defence that concedes an average of 2.5 goals per home match and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Bournemouth have had a slightly better run over their last five matches — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, compared with Chelsea’s 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses — so an away goal is a realistic possibility. Even so, Bournemouth are yet to win away from home, and Chelsea’s greater attacking strength points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 67% of Chelsea’s home matches and 100% of Bournemouth’s away fixtures, strongly pointing towards both teams scoring. Chelsea conceded an average of 1.33 goals at home, rising to 2.6 in their last 5 matches, so Bournemouth, averaging 1.5 goals away from home, has a real chance of finding the net. Meanwhile, the visitors conceded an average of 2.0 goals away and failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, while Chelsea posted an xG of 1.72 at home. The risk is that Chelsea failed to score in 33% of their home matches; however, their average of 5.67 shots on target per game and 2.6 goals per match recently strengthen the case for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Chelsea scored and conceded 2.6 goals per game, averaging 5.2 goals per match; over the same period, Bournemouth matches averaged 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in 100% and 80% of those matches, respectively, although such a high hit rate may not continue in the next game. The case for goals is further supported by Bournemouth averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home, while Chelsea have an xG of 1.72 at home. With projected totals of 1.85 goals for the hosts and 1.35 for the visitors, Over 1.5 goals offers the clearest edge: this line was reached in 67% of Chelsea’s home matches and 100% of Bournemouth’s away matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bournemouth led at the break in both of their away matches so far, scoring an average of 1.5 first-half goals, while Chelsea were level at half-time in 2 of their 3 home games. However, the visitors lost the second half in both away matches, failed to score after the break and conceded an average of 1.5 goals, making it uncertain whether they can hold on to their lead. Chelsea generate 1.72 xG at home compared with Bournemouth’s 1.19 away, giving the hosts a basis for a turnaround. Since Chelsea have drawn 2 of 3 home matches and Bournemouth 1 of 2 away matches, an away lead at half-time followed by a draw at full-time looks the most likely scenario, although the sample size is small.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chelsea | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chelsea is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Chelsea · 0.6 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.2 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.4 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.6 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Chelsea scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chelsea
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Chelsea · 2.2 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chelsea
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Chelsea | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.40 | 2.82 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 51% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Chelsea 0 - 2 - 0 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Chelsea 5:1 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea score 2.00 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.20. The Premier League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Chelsea's matches and 80% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.