Chelsea vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Chelsea played Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Chelsea: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Aston Villa: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Chelsea scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Chelsea 53%, Aston Villa 53%. Over 2.5: Chelsea 59%, Aston Villa 59%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Chelsea has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.34. Chelsea: 14.1 shots per match, Aston Villa: 11.6.

Match halves

Chelsea: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.06. Aston Villa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

Chelsea: 46-60 (9 goals). Aston Villa: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
ChelseaAston Villa
14Shots11
ChelseaAston Villa
3Shots on target8
ChelseaAston Villa
1.67xG1.44
ChelseaAston Villa
6Corners7
ChelseaAston Villa
79Dangerous attacks27
ChelseaAston Villa
16Fouls8
ChelseaAston Villa
5Cards3
ChelseaAston Villa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ChelseaAston Villa
1.71Goals scored / match1.59
ChelseaAston Villa
1Goals conceded / match1.06
ChelseaAston Villa
58%Average possession52%
ChelseaAston Villa
5.06Shots on target / match4.24
ChelseaAston Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.06Shots per match11.59
ChelseaAston Villa
5.06Shots on target4.24
ChelseaAston Villa
12.1%Shot conversion13.7%
ChelseaAston Villa
58%Possession52%
ChelseaAston Villa
1.63xG for1.34
ChelseaAston Villa
1.16xG against1.44
ChelseaAston Villa

Shooting quality

Chelsea: DominantAston Villa: Efficient finishing
ChelseaAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aston Villa is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Chelsea · 3 pts / match - Aston Villa

Chelsea
DLDWD
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Aston Villa
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
65% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-3-3
2.12 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chelsea is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.59 goals / match - Aston Villa

Chelsea is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.06 goals / match - Aston Villa

Chelsea scoring profile: very strong

Chelsea scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

Aston Villa scoring profile: mixed

Aston Villa scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).

29Goals scored (season)27
ChelseaAston Villa
17Goals conceded (season)18
ChelseaAston Villa
2.71Average goals in match2.65
ChelseaAston Villa
6Goals scored (last 5)12
ChelseaAston Villa
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
ChelseaAston Villa

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal71%
ChelseaAston Villa
53%2 goals53%
ChelseaAston Villa
18%3 goals24%
ChelseaAston Villa
6%4 goals12%
ChelseaAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal71%
ChelseaAston Villa
35%2 goals24%
ChelseaAston Villa
12%3 goals12%
ChelseaAston Villa
0%4 goals0%
ChelseaAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time29%
ChelseaAston Villa
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ChelseaAston Villa
24%Scored in both halves47%
ChelseaAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
ChelseaAston Villa
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
ChelseaAston Villa
60%BTTS - last 580%
ChelseaAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
ChelseaAston Villa
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
ChelseaAston Villa
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
ChelseaAston Villa

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
ChelseaAston Villa
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
ChelseaAston Villa
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
ChelseaAston Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chelsea is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.18 pts / match - Aston Villa

Chelsea - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.18
ChelseaAston Villa
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.65
ChelseaAston Villa
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
ChelseaAston Villa
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.29
ChelseaAston Villa
65%Clean sheet before half-time47%
ChelseaAston Villa
53%No goal before half-time47%
ChelseaAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.82
ChelseaAston Villa
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
ChelseaAston Villa
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
ChelseaAston Villa
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.35
ChelseaAston Villa
65%Clean sheet after half-time65%
ChelseaAston Villa
35%No goal after half-time35%
ChelseaAston Villa

Chelsea - second-half results

47% W41% R12% P
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aston Villa - second-half results

47% W41% R12% P
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding271%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chelsea - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Chelsea
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
9
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Chelsea

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

ChelseaLigaAston Villa
Average goals in match 2.712.81 2.65
Both teams scored 53%53% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%56% 59%
Clean sheets 47%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 71%71% 76%
Goal after half-time 76%81% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.81
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Aston VillaYellow cardMatthew Stuart Cash
  2. Aston VillaYellow cardMorgan Rogers
  3. ChelseaYellow cardReece James
  4. ChelseaYellow cardTrevoh Thomas Chalobah
  5. ChelseaYellow cardLiam Delap
  6. Aston VillaYellow cardBoubacar Bernard Kamara
  7. ChelseaYellow cardEnzo Jeremías Fernández

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Stuart AttwellMatches officiated: 25
4.88Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins36%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Chelsea vs Aston Villa?

The Premier League match finished Chelsea 1:2 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Aston Villa?

Chelsea score 1.71 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.59. The Premier League average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Chelsea's matches and 53% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Chelsea and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Aston Villa 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Aston Villa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chelsea vs Aston Villa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.