Chelsea vs Leeds United: match statistics
Chelsea is displaying decidedly better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.4 points per game. The hosts are effective at their own stadium, winning 50% of home matches with just 25% losses, and their average xG (1.7) exceeds their goals conceded average (1.08). Leeds United has very poor away results – only 8% wins, 58% losses, and a negative goal difference of -13, with as many as 42% of matches ending without scoring a goal. The difference in possession (60% vs 45%) and shot efficiency (12% vs 9%) further speaks in Chelsea's favor. Considering all statistical parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Chelsea vs Leeds United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chelsea played Leeds United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Chelsea: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Leeds United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chelsea scores 1.80 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Leeds United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chelsea 64%, Leeds United 64%. Over 2.5: Chelsea 64%, Leeds United 60%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Chelsea has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.39. Chelsea: 13.5 shots per match, Leeds United: 12.5.
Match halves
Chelsea: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04. Leeds United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Chelsea: 46-60 (11 goals). Leeds United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chelsea is displaying decidedly better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.4 points per game. The hosts are effective at their own stadium, winning 50% of home matches with just 25% losses, and their average xG (1.7) exceeds their goals conceded average (1.08). Leeds United has very poor away results – only 8% wins, 58% losses, and a negative goal difference of -13, with as many as 42% of matches ending without scoring a goal. The difference in possession (60% vs 45%) and shot efficiency (12% vs 9%) further speaks in Chelsea's favor. Considering all statistical parameters, a home win is the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chelsea | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chelsea is 71% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.4 pts / match - Leeds United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.36 goals / match - Leeds United
Chelsea is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.72 goals / match - Leeds United
Chelsea scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Leeds United scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chelsea
Over / Under - Leeds United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.4 pts / match - Leeds United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chelsea
Leeds United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Chelsea | Liga | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.92 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chelsea 0 - 0 - 1 Leeds United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chelsea vs Leeds United?
The Premier League match finished Chelsea 2:2 Leeds United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Leeds United?
Chelsea score 1.80 goals per game on average and Leeds United 1.36. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Chelsea's matches and 64% of Leeds United's.
What form are Chelsea and Leeds United in?
Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Leeds United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Leeds United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.