Chelsea vs Newcastle United: match statistics
As the host, Chelsea presents solid form with a 43% home win rate and only 7% of matches without scoring a goal. The home team averages 1.64 goals per home game with an average ball possession of 61%, demonstrating their control over the game. Newcastle has a weaker away record with a 50% loss rate and a striking 43% of away matches without a goal, making them less dangerous offensively. The difference in Expected Goals also favors Chelsea (1.69 xG vs 1.46 xG), suggesting better quality in chance creation. Both teams' form over the last five matches is similar (1.4 PPG); however, the home-field advantage and superior offensive and defensive home stats give Chelsea a realistic chance of claiming all three points.
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chelsea play Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Chelsea: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chelsea scores 1.53 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Newcastle United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chelsea 63%, Newcastle United 66%. Over 2.5: Chelsea 66%, Newcastle United 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Chelsea: 13.4 shots per match, Newcastle United: 12.9.
Match halves
Chelsea: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.84. Newcastle United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Chelsea: 46-60 (14 goals). Newcastle United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
As the host, Chelsea presents solid form with a 43% home win rate and only 7% of matches without scoring a goal. The home team averages 1.64 goals per home game with an average ball possession of 61%, demonstrating their control over the game. Newcastle has a weaker away record with a 50% loss rate and a striking 43% of away matches without a goal, making them less dangerous offensively. The difference in Expected Goals also favors Chelsea (1.69 xG vs 1.46 xG), suggesting better quality in chance creation. Both teams' form over the last five matches is similar (1.4 PPG); however, the home-field advantage and superior offensive and defensive home stats give Chelsea a realistic chance of claiming all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chelsea | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.39 goals / match - Newcastle United
Chelsea is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Chelsea · 1.45 goals / match - Newcastle United
Chelsea scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Newcastle United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chelsea
Over / Under — Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Chelsea · 1.39 pts / match - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chelsea
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Chelsea | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.75 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chelsea 0 - 1 - 0 Newcastle United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Chelsea 0:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
Chelsea score 1.53 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.39. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Chelsea's matches and 66% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Chelsea and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Chelsea have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Newcastle United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
The statistical background for Chelsea vs Newcastle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.