Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Grimsby Town presents significantly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings compared to just 0.6 points for Cheltenham Town. The visitors are on an excellent run with four wins and one draw in the last five matches, while the hosts have lost four of their last five fixtures. Grimsby dominates in offensive statistics with a higher average of goals scored (1.5 vs 1.08) and better conversion rate (12% vs 11%), as well as a higher average of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.92). Cheltenham sits in just 18th place in the table with a goal difference of 0 at home, whereas Grimsby, from 11th position, shows greater defensive stability in recent matches, conceding only 2 goals in the last five games. Grimsby's advantage in possession (55% vs 49%) and higher xG values (1.39 vs 1.14) further confirm their superiority, making a victory for the visitors the most likely scenario.
Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Grimsby Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 1.00 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.44 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 42%, Grimsby Town 48%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 42%, Grimsby Town 44%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.14. Cheltenham Town: 9.9 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 14.0.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.65. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (9 goals). Grimsby Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town presents significantly better form, earning 2.6 points per match in the last five meetings compared to just 0.6 points for Cheltenham Town. The visitors are on an excellent run with four wins and one draw in the last five matches, while the hosts have lost four of their last five fixtures. Grimsby dominates in offensive statistics with a higher average of goals scored (1.5 vs 1.08) and better conversion rate (12% vs 11%), as well as a higher average of shots on target (3.92 vs 2.92). Cheltenham sits in just 18th place in the table with a goal difference of 0 at home, whereas Grimsby, from 11th position, shows greater defensive stability in recent matches, conceding only 2 goals in the last five games. Grimsby's advantage in possession (55% vs 49%) and higher xG values (1.39 vs 1.14) further confirm their superiority, making a victory for the visitors the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 2 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.44 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.2 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Cheltenham Town scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.36 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.62 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 - 1 Grimsby Town. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 0:2 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
Cheltenham Town score 1.00 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.44. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 48% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.