Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons are displaying significantly better form and league position (6th) compared to Cheltenham Town (18th). The visitors boast an impressive goal difference on the road (+11) and an excellent five-match unbeaten run (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 goals. Cheltenham, meanwhile, are in crisis with four defeats in their last five matches and a negative goal difference at home (-2). MK Dons demonstrate a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs the hosts' 10%) and superior xG statistics, confirming their qualitative advantage. The hosts have failed to score in 36% of their home games, while the visitors only blank in 7% of their away matches, further supporting a victory for MK Dons.
Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town play Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 16:01. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 1.15 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.87 and concedes 0.98. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 52%, Milton Keynes Dons 61%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 48%, Milton Keynes Dons 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.16. Cheltenham Town: 10.3 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.6.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.83. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (16 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Milton Keynes Dons are displaying significantly better form and league position (6th) compared to Cheltenham Town (18th). The visitors boast an impressive goal difference on the road (+11) and an excellent five-match unbeaten run (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 goals. Cheltenham, meanwhile, are in crisis with four defeats in their last five matches and a negative goal difference at home (-2). MK Dons demonstrate a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs the hosts' 10%) and superior xG statistics, confirming their qualitative advantage. The hosts have failed to score in 36% of their home games, while the visitors only blank in 7% of their away matches, further supporting a victory for MK Dons.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 2.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.87 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 0.98 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 33% (15 of 46 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cheltenham Town
Over / Under — Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 152% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 2.09 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 67% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 2:3 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Cheltenham Town score 1.15 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.87. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.