Cheltenham Town vs Salford City: match statistics
Cheltenham Town vs Salford City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town played Salford City in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: The EV Charger Points Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Salford City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 1.78 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Salford City scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 89%, Salford City 44%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 78%, Salford City 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Salford City has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.07. Cheltenham Town: 9.2 shots per match, Salford City: 15.3.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.89. Salford City: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 31-45+ (4 goals). Salford City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cheltenham Town are favourites primarily due to their home form: they have won 3 of 4 matches at home and remain unbeaten, while Salford City have lost 2 of 4 away games. The hosts average 2.25 goals at home, and the visitors concede 2 goals per match on the road, boosting Cheltenham’s chances of winning. However, it will not be an easy task: Salford have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in that run, and their away xG stands at 1.42 compared with the hosts’ 1.05 at home. Cheltenham allow chances worth an average of 2.12 xG at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there, so despite their home advantage, Salford are expected to find the net.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing BTTS - Yes, as both teams scored in 80% of Cheltenham’s last 5 matches and 60% of Salford’s. Over that period, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while the visitors averaged 2.0 and 1.2 respectively, pointing to genuine scoring chances at both ends. Cheltenham’s average home xG of 1.84 also supports their chances of scoring, compared with Salford’s 1.81 xG conceded away from home. The main argument against this pick is that Cheltenham kept a clean sheet in 60% of their home matches, but their opponents generated an average of 2.12 xG across their last 5 games, while Salford scored 2.0 goals per away match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Cheltenham averaged 1.6 goals scored and Salford 2.0, supporting a prediction of at least two goals. The hosts have conceded an average of 1.4 goals recently and allowed opponents chances worth 2.12 xG, although their average goals conceded at home is just 0.4. Salford, meanwhile, concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home, giving Cheltenham a chance to score despite their modest home scoring average of 1.0 goals. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 5 matches, but the significant gap between Cheltenham’s home results and Salford’s away results increases uncertainty on higher lines. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.85 goals, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, with a 78% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Cheltenham were level at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches, while Salford were level in 2 of their 4 away games. The hosts did not lead at the break in any of those 5 home matches, but won the second half in 4 of 5, scoring an average of 1.0 goals after the break. The overall match records support this scenario: Cheltenham won 4 of 5 home games and conceded an average of 0.4 goals, while Salford lost 2 of 4 away games and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The hosts’ edge in chance creation is also reflected in their xG of 1.84 compared with the visitors’ 1.42. However, Salford have the better return across their last five matches overall, averaging 2.0 points per game compared with Cheltenham’s 1.6. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win is the strongest signal, but not a foregone conclusion.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Salford City is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 2.6 pts / match - Salford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cheltenham Town is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.44 goals / match - Salford City
Salford City is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.11 goals / match - Salford City
Cheltenham Town scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Salford City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Salford City scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
Over / Under - Salford City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cheltenham Town is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1 pts / match - Salford City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Salford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Salford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.49 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 89% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 - 0 Salford City. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Salford City?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 0:2 Salford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham Town and Salford City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cheltenham Town won 1, Salford City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Salford City?
Cheltenham Town score 1.78 goals per game on average and Salford City 1.44. The EFL League Two average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 44% of Salford City's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Salford City in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Salford City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Salford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.