Cheongju vs Hwaseong: match statistics
Cheongju vs Hwaseong: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheongju played Hwaseong in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Venue: Cheongju Stadium. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Cheongju: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Hwaseong: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheongju scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Hwaseong scores 1.33 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheongju 75%, Hwaseong 50%. Over 2.5: Cheongju 50%, Hwaseong 42%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Hwaseong has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.43. Cheongju: 11.8 shots per match, Hwaseong: 11.5.
Match halves
Cheongju: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Hwaseong: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Cheongju: 31-45+ (3 goals). Hwaseong: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cheongju has yet to win this season (0 wins, 10 draws, 2 losses) and at home records 0% wins and 67% draws; at home they average 0.83 goals per match with xG 1.59, indicating significant inefficiency (conversion rate ~6% and 3.67 shots on target per match). Hwaseong sit 5th, scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per match (3 wins, 2 draws), but on the road they score only 0.67 goals on average and failed to score in 67% of away matches. The statistical matchup shows a home advantage in chance creation: 13.67 shots and 3.67 on target at home versus 7.33 and 2.33 for the visitors, and the home xG 1.59 exceeds the visitors' away xG 1.01, however Cheongju fail to convert this into goals. Hwaseong's strengths are recent points and scoring form (10 goals vs Cheongju's 4 in the last 5), which gives them a realistic chance to win despite weaker away form. Due to Cheongju's frequent home draws and the visitors' inconsistency away, I assess a draw as the most likely outcome, with a moderate probability of a Hwaseong win and a low probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis favors the "both teams to score" scenario: Cheongju has a season BTTS of 56% and Hwaseong 33%, giving a season average of 44.5%. Strong recent-form signal supports BTTS — Cheongju 60% and Hwaseong 80% in the last 5 matches, averaging 70%, while the league BTTS is 63%. Hwaseong averages 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches (10 goals in five) and has no clean sheets this season (0%), whereas Cheongju generates more chances (xG 1.58 and 5.11 shots on target vs xG 1.01 and 2.33 SOT for Hwaseong), increasing the likelihood both teams score. Against BTTS, Cheongju has only 0.8 goals per game in the last 5 and keeps clean sheets in 44% of matches this season, which reduces BTTS probability. Weighing form signals (average 70%) and the league BTTS level of 63% against the season average of 44.5%, I assess BTTS probability at about 60% and recommend a "Yes" bet (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total goals around 2.63 (expected goals: Cheongju 1.45, Hwaseong 1.18). Cheongju averages 1.56 goals per match with an xG of 1.58, while Hwaseong scores 0.67 goals on average with an xG of 1.01; additionally Cheongju records 12.89 shots and 5.11 on target versus Hwaseong’s 7.33 and 2.33, giving the home side a clear offensive edge. The summed xG (1.58+1.01=2.59) and opponent xG figures (1.34 for Cheongju, 1.32 for Hwaseong) lead to an expected total of about 2.63, and a Poisson model produces roughly ~74% chance of Over 1.5, ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5. Season-long indicators confirm the trend—Cheongju has 78% of matches with over 1.5 goals versus Hwaseong’s 33%—therefore the strongest and safest signal is a bet on Over 1.5. I recommend taking Over 1.5 (over), as this selection has the highest probability and is supported by the home side’s xG advantage and shot volume.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cheongju holds a clear advantage in season-long metrics: average goals 1.56 versus 0.67 for Hwaseong, xG 1.58 versus 1.01, and an average of 5.11 shots on target versus 2.33, indicating greater offensive potential for the hosts. At half-time the hosts have scored 11 goals compared to 3 for the visitors and collected 12 half-time points versus Hwaseong’s 3, while Hwaseong have been trailing at the break in 67% of matches; this suggests Cheongju will hold a lead at the break. Cheongju also perform better after the interval—an average of 1.44 second-half goals versus 0.67 for the visitors—so maintaining or extending the lead is more likely than a turnaround. Although Hwaseong have won 60% of their last five matches, their season figures show 67% losses and 0% clean sheets, which limits their chances of reversing the score; therefore I select 1/1 as the strongest signal (33%), with X/1 (19%) as the second most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheongju | Hwaseong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hwaseong is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Cheongju · 2.2 pts / match - Hwaseong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hwaseong is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Cheongju · 1.33 goals / match - Hwaseong
Hwaseong is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Cheongju · 1.08 goals / match - Hwaseong
Cheongju scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Hwaseong keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Hwaseong scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Cheongju keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheongju
Over / Under - Hwaseong
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheongju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hwaseong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheongju
Hwaseong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Cheongju | Liga | Hwaseong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cheongju 0 - 1 - 2 Hwaseong. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
The K League 2 match finished Cheongju 2:3 Hwaseong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheongju and Hwaseong?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cheongju won 0, Hwaseong won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
Cheongju score 1.08 goals per game on average and Hwaseong 1.33. The K League 2 average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Cheongju's matches and 50% of Hwaseong's.
What form are Cheongju and Hwaseong in?
Over the last 5 games Cheongju have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Hwaseong 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.