Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: match statistics
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cherno More play CSKA 1948 Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Cherno More: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. CSKA 1948 Sofia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cherno More scores 1.11 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. CSKA 1948 Sofia scores 1.50 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cherno More 39%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 44%. Over 2.5: Cherno More 39%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA 1948 Sofia has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.42. Cherno More: 10.9 shots per match, CSKA 1948 Sofia: 11.6.
Match halves
Cherno More: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.58. CSKA 1948 Sofia: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Cherno More: 76-90+ (10 goals). CSKA 1948 Sofia: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
CSKA 1948 are the favorites based on superior attacking metrics and current form: the visitors have 17 wins this season versus 11 for the hosts and have scored 46 goals overall, averaging 1.5 goals on the road compared to the hosts’ 1.07 goals per home match. The visitors convert shots more efficiently (14% conversion rate away vs 8% for Cherno More) and are less likely to finish without scoring — share of matches without a goal is 21% for CSKA vs 36% for the hosts. Cherno More, however, has a clear defensive edge at home: they concede only 0.71 goals per match and record 57% clean sheets in home fixtures, while CSKA concede 1.00 goals away and have 43% clean sheets. In terms of chance quality the hosts generate 1.67 xG at home versus 1.47 xG for the visitors on the road, but Cherno More fail to convert those chances into goals (actual 1.07 < 1.67 xG). Considering form (CSKA 2.0 points per match in the last 5 vs 1.4 for Cherno More), higher efficiency and advantage in number of wins, I give CSKA the greater probability of victory, although the high share of home draws (43%) leaves a realistic possibility of a points split.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cherno More | CSKA 1948 Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cherno More is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Cherno More · 1 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Cherno More · 1.5 goals / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia
Cherno More scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while CSKA 1948 Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
CSKA 1948 Sofia scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cherno More
Over / Under — CSKA 1948 Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA 1948 Sofia is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Cherno More · 1.69 pts / match - CSKA 1948 Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CSKA 1948 Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cherno More
CSKA 1948 Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Cherno More | Liga | CSKA 1948 Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cherno More 1 - 0 - 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
The First League match finished Cherno More 0:4 CSKA 1948 Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Cherno More score 1.11 goals per game on average and CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.50. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Cherno More's matches and 44% of CSKA 1948 Sofia's.
What form are Cherno More and CSKA 1948 Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Cherno More have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
The statistical background for Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.