Cherno More vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: match statistics
Cherno More vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cherno More played Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Ticha. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Cherno More: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cherno More scores 1.00 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores 1.14 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cherno More 63%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 100%. Over 2.5: Cherno More 63%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 71%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Cherno More has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.28. Cherno More: 8.4 shots per match, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 8.9.
Match halves
Cherno More: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Cherno More: 76-90+ (3 goals). Lokomotiv Sofia 1929: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cherno More have a slight home advantage: they average 1.67 goals and 1.53 xG at home, while Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.25 goals away from home and create chances worth 1.22 xG. The hosts also register more shots on target, averaging 6.33 compared with the visitors’ 3.50, which should translate into greater attacking control. However, both defenses are prone to mistakes, as Cherno More concede 2.33 goals per home game and Lokomotiv 1.75, with neither side keeping a clean sheet. The visitors have not won any away matches, but they have drawn 75% of them, making a draw a realistic outcome. Cherno More’s poor run, with 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, reduces confidence in the pick, but the higher quality of chances created gives the hosts a marginal edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 100% of their league matches so far, well above the league average of 56%. Cherno More have not kept a clean sheet and concede an average of 2.33 goals per match, while Lokomotiv Sofia also have 0% of matches without conceding and allow 1.75 goals per game. In their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while the visitors have scored 1.2 and allowed their opponents 2.2 goals. Their attacking potential is also supported by the xG figures: 1.33 for Cherno More and 1.41 for Lokomotiv in their last five appearances. Despite both teams' poor results, their consistent defensive concessions and high scoring frequency on both sides strongly support the BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams regularly feature in goal-filled matches: over their last 5 games, Cherno More averaged 3.8 total goals, while Lokomotiv Sofia averaged 3.4. Each team exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches to date, with both teams scoring and conceding at least one goal in every game. Recent defensive form further supports a high-scoring game, as the hosts conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match and the visitors 2.2. The model, based on chance quality, projects approximately 1.48 goals for Cherno More and 1.38 for Lokomotiv, equating to 2.86 total goals; therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Lokomotiv Sofia win, as Cherno More have been level at the break in all three of their home matches so far. The hosts score just 0.33 goals per match before half-time, while Lokomotiv average 0.25, supporting the expectation of a cautious, evenly balanced opening. After the interval, Cherno More concede as many as 2.0 goals on average at home, whereas Lokomotiv score 1.0 goal in this phase and have not lost any second half. The visitors also have a positive second-half goal difference of +1, compared with -4 for the hosts, who have lost all three second halves in their home matches. Cherno More have lost 100% of their full matches at home, while Lokomotiv have drawn 75% of their away fixtures, so the visitors’ advantage should become most apparent after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cherno More | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 58% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cherno More is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.4 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Cherno More · 1.14 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.13 goals / match - Cherno More · 2 goals / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Cherno More scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cherno More
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cherno More is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.71 pts / match - Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cherno More
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Cherno More | Liga | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cherno More 0 - 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cherno More vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
The First League match finished Cherno More 2:2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cherno More and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 0, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cherno More vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Cherno More score 1.00 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1.14. The First League average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Cherno More's matches and 100% of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's.
What form are Cherno More and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in?
Over the last 5 games Cherno More have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cherno More vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.