Cherno More vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Cherno More clearly dominates this encounter, occupying 4th place in the table and displaying solid home form with 44% wins and just 22% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home while conceding only 0.78, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Spartak Varna is in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and collecting just 1 point (0.2 PPG), and their away form is even worse – only 11% wins and as many as 44% of matches without scoring a goal. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.8 vs 0.91), as do the average shots on target (5.56 vs 1.67) and possession (53% vs 41%). Taking all these factors into account, a Cherno More victory is the most likely scenario.
Cherno More vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cherno More played Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Cherno More: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Spartak Varna: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cherno More scores 1.32 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cherno More 47%, Spartak Varna 63%. Over 2.5: Cherno More 37%, Spartak Varna 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cherno More has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.07. Cherno More: 12.2 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 8.3.
Match halves
Cherno More: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.63. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Cherno More: 76-90+ (8 goals). Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cherno More clearly dominates this encounter, occupying 4th place in the table and displaying solid home form with 44% wins and just 22% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals per match at home while conceding only 0.78, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Spartak Varna is in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and collecting just 1 point (0.2 PPG), and their away form is even worse – only 11% wins and as many as 44% of matches without scoring a goal. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.8 vs 0.91), as do the average shots on target (5.56 vs 1.67) and possession (53% vs 41%). Taking all these factors into account, a Cherno More victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cherno More | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cherno More is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.2 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cherno More is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Cherno More · 0.95 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Cherno More is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Cherno More · 1.58 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Cherno More scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cherno More
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cherno More is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.95 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cherno More - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cherno More
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Cherno More | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 32% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cherno More 1 - 0 - 0 Spartak Varna. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cherno More vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Cherno More 0:0 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cherno More vs Spartak Varna?
Cherno More score 1.32 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cherno More's matches and 63% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Cherno More and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Cherno More have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Spartak Varna 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cherno More vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cherno More vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.