Chesterfield vs Notts County: match statistics
Chesterfield vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chesterfield play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Chesterfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chesterfield scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chesterfield 58%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Chesterfield 44%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Chesterfield has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.34. Chesterfield: 12.1 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.
Match halves
Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Chesterfield: 76-90+ (17 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Chesterfield score an average of 1.65 goals at home with xG 1.53 per match, while Notts County average 1.26 goals away with xG 1.27. The form gap is clear — in the last 5 matches the home side have 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, whereas Notts have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses with 1.4 points per game; additionally Notts have conceded 8 goals in those five matches versus 4 for the hosts. Chesterfield create more chances: 13.57 shots and 4.26 shots on target per game with 59% possession, against 10.7 shots, 3.83 shots on target and 54% possession for Notts. Goalscoring and defensive metrics also favor the home team — they don’t concede much at home (1.04 goals conceded per game) and have fewer goalless matches (failed to score in 13% of games) compared to the visitors (1.17 goals conceded per game and 22% of matches without a goal), and at home they have a goal difference of +14 versus +2 for the visitors on the road. These numbers (higher xG, better home efficiency and 2.2 pts in the last 5 vs 1.4 for the visitors) lead me to favour Chesterfield, although the season totals of 74 goals for Notts versus 71 for Chesterfield show the visitors can be dangerous.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chesterfield | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Chesterfield · 2.2 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County
Notts County is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.06 goals / match - Notts County
Chesterfield scores in 85% of matches (41 of 48 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chesterfield
Over / Under — Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chesterfield
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Chesterfield | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Chesterfield 2 - 1 - 0 Notts County. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chesterfield vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Chesterfield 0:1 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Notts County?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2, Notts County won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chesterfield vs Notts County?
Chesterfield score 1.48 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chesterfield's matches and 53% of Notts County's.
What form are Chesterfield and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Chesterfield have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chesterfield vs Notts County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.