Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II: match statistics
Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire II played Inter Miami II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: SeatGeek Stadium. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Chicago Fire II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Inter Miami II: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire II scores 1.17 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Inter Miami II scores 1.09 and concedes 2.91. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire II 58%, Inter Miami II 73%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire II 75%, Inter Miami II 73%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire II has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.39. Chicago Fire II: 12.8 shots per match, Inter Miami II: 11.3.
Match halves
Chicago Fire II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.42. Inter Miami II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire II: 31-45+ (5 goals). Inter Miami II: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chicago Fire II possess a clear defensive edge and superior form: at home they concede on average 1.5 goals per game with xG against 1.48 and have a positive home goal differential of +1, while Inter Miami II concede 3.0 goals on average away with xG against 2.07 and carry an away goal differential of -11. Offensively the hosts score 1.67 goals per home game (xG 1.63) and record a 50% win rate at home, whereas the visitors score 1.17 goals away (xG 1.43) and have no away wins (0%). In their last five matches Chicago have scored 9 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while Inter have shipped 18 goals in their last five and have 0 points in that period. Additionally the hosts are more efficient in finishing chances – home shot conversion is 13% with an average of 3.17 shots on target, while Inter convert 10% despite 4.67 shots on target and have 0% clean sheets on the road. Given the gap in average goals conceded (1.5 vs 3.0), the visitors’ worse defensive xG (2.07 vs 1.48) and Inter’s poor recent form (5 straight defeats, 18 goals conceded), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS - Yes: this season Chicago Fire II have BTTS at 80% and Inter Miami II at 67%, averaging 74% versus the league rate of 61%. In the last 5 matches Inter Miami II have BTTS 100% (5/5) and Chicago 60% (3/5); Inter Miami conceded 18 goals in those 5 games (3.6 per game) while Chicago conceded 9 (1.8 per game), which significantly increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. xG supports the offensive profile of both teams: Chicago xG 1.35 vs xG against 1.91, Inter Miami xG 1.43 vs xG against 2.07 — both sides create ~1.3–1.4 xG but allow ~1.9–2.1 xG. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and high Over 2.5 rates (60% for Chicago and 83% for Inter Miami), further boosting the chance of goals from both teams. Considering seasonal BTTS 80%/67%, last 5 matches 60%/100%, 0% clean sheets and average concessions 1.8 and 3.6 in the last 5, I pick BTTS - Yes as the best bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of their season matches over 1.5 goals, with Over 2.5 rates of 60% for Chicago Fire II and 83% for Inter Miami II; in the last 5 matches both sides had 100% of games exceeding 2.5 goals. xG analysis shows Fire II xG_for = 1.35 versus the average xG conceded by Inter Miami II = 2.07, yielding 1.71 expected goals for the home side; similarly Inter Miami II xG_for = 1.43 against Fire II average xG conceded = 1.91 gives 1.67 expected goals for the visitors, total expected goals = 3.38. In the last 5 matches Fire II averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded (3.6 goals/match), while Inter Miami II averaged 1.2 scored and 3.6 conceded (4.8 goals/match), which increases the probability of a high-scoring game. Additionally, in 80% of home matches and 67% of away matches both teams scored, and the league goals average is 3.21; combining this with our expected 3.38 and historical Over 2.5 (roughly 71.5% between the teams), the strongest signal is Over 2.5. I rate Over 1.5 as practically certain (98%), while Over 3.5 is borderline — season Over 3.5 are 40% (Chicago) and 50% (Miami), averaging 45%, so Under 3.5 has a slight edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chicago Fire II led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5), while Inter Miami II have lost all of their last 5 fixtures (5 of 5, 100%), giving a clear home advantage. In the first 45 minutes over the last 5 games the hosts have averaged 1.2 goals scored versus the visitors conceding 1.8 goals on average (1.2 vs 1.8), so the HT lead favors Chicago Fire II. On the xG level both teams generate similar values (home xG 1.35 versus away 1.43), but the visitors’ defense is weaker (xG against 2.07 and 3.6 average goals conceded in the last 5), which increases the chance that the home side will maintain their lead through to Full-Time. Additionally Chicago register more shots on target (5.4 vs 4.67) and both teams frequently produce both teams to score this season (BTTS 80% for the hosts and 67% for the visitors), so I expect goals from both sides, but with a Chicago advantage. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (33%), with a moderate chance of a draw or a home win following a Half-Time draw, and a low probability of a turnaround by Inter Miami II given their form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire II | Inter Miami II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire II is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Chicago Fire II · 1.09 goals / match - Inter Miami II
Chicago Fire II is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Chicago Fire II · 2.91 goals / match - Inter Miami II
Chicago Fire II scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Inter Miami II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
Inter Miami II scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Chicago Fire II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire II
Over / Under - Inter Miami II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire II is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Chicago Fire II · 1.09 pts / match - Inter Miami II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire II
Inter Miami II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire II | Liga | Inter Miami II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.24 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Chicago Fire II 1 - 1 - 0 Inter Miami II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chicago Fire II 3:1 Inter Miami II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire II and Inter Miami II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Chicago Fire II won 1, Inter Miami II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II?
Chicago Fire II score 1.17 goals per game on average and Inter Miami II 1.09. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chicago Fire II's matches and 73% of Inter Miami II's.
What form are Chicago Fire II and Inter Miami II in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Inter Miami II 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II?
The statistical background for Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.