Chicago Fire vs New York City: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire played New York City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Soldier Field. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Chicago Fire: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New York City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire scores 1.81 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. New York City scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire 70%, New York City 67%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire 74%, New York City 52%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.34. Chicago Fire: 14.3 shots per match, New York City: 11.6.
Match halves
Chicago Fire: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00. New York City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire: 61-75 (11 goals). New York City: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chicago Fire have a clear home advantage: they have won 58% of their home matches and score an average of 1.83 goals per game there, while New York City have won 31% of their away matches and average 1.15 goals. The hosts also create more chances—their average home xG is 1.76, compared with 1.13 for the visitors away from home, and they record 5.33 shots on target per game to the visitors’ 3.85. New York City’s away defence concedes chances worth an average xG of 1.50, further strengthening the case for a Chicago goal. Caution is warranted, however, as both teams have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, while Chicago conceded 10 goals in that period compared with 5 for their opponents. Despite the hosts’ recent defensive struggles, their superior finishing and chance quality at home make a Chicago win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 64% of Chicago Fire’s matches and 69% of New York City’s, so the full-season data points towards goals for both teams. Chicago average 1.86 goals per match, while New York City concede 1.15, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. The visitors score an average of 1.15 goals, while Chicago concede 1.50; however, their average xG of 1.13 indicates less attacking threat than the hosts, whose xG stands at 1.53. The last five matches warrant caution: BTTS landed in 60% of Chicago’s games, but in only 40% of New York City’s. Despite this weaker recent signal, the season-long BTTS frequency and Chicago’s defensive vulnerability make both teams to score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals: this threshold was reached in 86% of Chicago matches and 85% of New York City matches. The hosts average 1.86 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.15; meanwhile, Chicago concede 1.50 goals per game, compared with New York City's average of 1.15 goals scored. The hosts' attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 1.53 and 5.29 shots on target per match, versus 1.13 xG and 3.85 shots on target for the visitors. The Over 2.5 goals line is less reliable, having landed in 64% of Chicago matches but only 38% of New York City matches. Therefore, with a forecast of 2.79 total goals, Over 1.5 goals offers a clearer edge than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is likely, as New York City were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Chicago averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time over the same period. The hosts do, however, have the potential to take the lead: their average xG is 1.53 compared with the visitors’ 1.13, and they register 5.29 shots on target per match against 3.85. New York City’s more solid defence also supports the draw, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.15 goals per match, compared with Chicago’s 1.50. In addition, the visitors have drawn 38% of their matches this season, and both teams have recorded 2 draws in their last 5 matches. Therefore, X/X is a slightly stronger pick than a home win, although the hosts’ attacking advantage means a draw cannot be considered a certain outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | New York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 1 pts / match - New York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 1.52 goals / match - New York City
New York City is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 1.33 goals / match - New York City
Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
New York City scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - New York City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire
New York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | New York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.26 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chicago Fire 0 - 0 - 1 New York City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs New York City?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 2:1 New York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs New York City?
Chicago Fire score 1.81 goals per game on average and New York City 1.52. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Chicago Fire's matches and 67% of New York City's.
What form are Chicago Fire and New York City in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New York City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs New York City?
The statistical background for Chicago Fire vs New York City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.