Chicago Fire vs New York RB: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire played New York RB in MLS (United States). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Chicago Fire: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. New York RB: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire scores 1.90 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. New York RB scores 1.45 and concedes 2.45. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire 50%, New York RB 64%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire 70%, New York RB 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Chicago Fire: 15.3 shots per match, New York RB: 14.3.
Match halves
Chicago Fire: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. New York RB: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire: 76-90+ (5 goals). New York RB: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chicago Fire enjoy a clear statistical advantage at home: they score 2.17 goals per home match and concede 0.83, with xG 1.97 versus xG against 1.20 and a home goal difference of +8. New York RB away average is just 1.17 goals scored and 2.67 conceded, with xG for 1.77 and xG against 1.56 and a negative goal difference of -9, indicating defensive issues for the visitors. Recent form further favors the hosts — Chicago have scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.4 points per game in that period, while New York have only 6 goals, 0.2 points per game and 0 wins in the last 5. Additionally, the hosts are more efficient in front of goal (conversion rate 12% vs 8% for the visitors), have 67% of home matches with a clean sheet while NYRB have 0% clean sheets on the road, and 67% home win rate vs 17% away wins for the visitors. Based on these numbers I predict a Chicago Fire victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Defensive and attacking metrics point to a high likelihood of goals at both ends: New York RB concedes an average of 2.67 goals per game this season and as many as 3.0 goals in the last 5 matches, while Chicago Fire scores an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 games (compared to NYRB’s 1.2 in the same period). Additionally, NYRB’s season BTTS rate is 83%, and Chicago’s season BTTS is 40% but 80% over the last 5 matches, indicating that despite a lower seasonal percentage Chicago has recently been involved in many Goal/Goal games. Scoring potential is visible in xG and shots: seasonal average xG is 1.77 for NYRB and 1.57 for Chicago, while in the last 5 matches Chicago has xG 1.87 versus NYRB 1.41; NYRB also averages 6.17 shots on target per game versus Chicago’s 3.8, which increases the chances of both teams scoring. NYRB have no clean sheets (0% clean sheets this season) and Chicago’s clean sheet rate is low (20%), which further boosts BTTS probability, and NYRB’s 27 goals conceded this season confirms the visitors’ defensive weakness. Considering NYRB’s 83% season BTTS, Chicago’s 80% BTTS in the last 5, high average goals and xG, and NYRB’s weak defense, I assess 'BTTS - Yes' at 78% and 'BTTS - No' at 22%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 because both teams have weak defenses: Chicago concedes 2.2 goals per match on average, and New York RB concedes 2.67 (in the last 5 matches NYRB concedes even 3.0). Based on xG: home xG 1.57 and xG against NYRB 1.56 yield an expected ~1.57 goals for Chicago; NYRB xG 1.77 and xG against Chicago 1.36 yield ~1.56 goals for the visitors; total expected goals = 3.13. Historical metrics confirm a goal-prone tendency: Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of Chicago’s matches and 100% of NYRB’s matches, and Over 2.5 in 60% of Chicago’s matches and 67% of NYRB’s matches (Chicago last 5 matches: Over 2.5 = 100%). Additional offensive signals are NYRB’s 6.17 shots on target vs Chicago’s 3.8 and Chicago’s higher conversion rate 14% vs NYRB 8%, which increases the probability of chance conversion and goal exchange. On this basis I assign a 90% probability to Over 1.5 (Over 2.5 66%, Over 3.5 44%) and recommend betting the over at 1.5 as the strongest and most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chicago Fire hold the form edge and home advantage: they average 1.4 points per match this season versus 0.83 for New York RB, and in the last 5 matches Chicago have won 40% of games while NYRB have won none (0%). In terms of Half-Time, over the last 5 fixtures Chicago were leading at the break in 40% of matches and averaged 1.2 goals by Half-Time, whereas NYRB were trailing at the break in 60% of cases and averaged 0.6 goals by Half-Time. The second half further favors the hosts — in the last 5 matches Chicago have scored on average 1.4 goals after the break and there was a goal after Half-Time in 100% of those games, which increases the likelihood of a decisive goal in the second half. Although the visitors’ xG is 1.77 versus 1.57 for the hosts, NYRB have a lower finishing efficiency (8% vs Chicago’s 14%) and conceded on average 1.4 goals by Half-Time in their last 5 matches, reducing the visitors’ realistic chances of resistance in the second half. As a result, the strongest signal is Half-Time/Full-Time: draw at the break and Chicago to win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 0.4 pts / match - New York RB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 1.45 goals / match - New York RB
Chicago Fire is 123% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 2.45 goals / match - New York RB
Chicago Fire scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
New York RB scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - New York RB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 0.91 pts / match - New York RB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire
New York RB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs New York RB?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 1:3 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs New York RB?
Chicago Fire score 1.90 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.45. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Chicago Fire's matches and 64% of New York RB's.
What form are Chicago Fire and New York RB in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and New York RB 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs New York RB?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.