Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire played Sporting KC in MLS (United States). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Chicago Fire: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sporting KC: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sporting KC scores 0.88 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire 50%, Sporting KC 63%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire 63%, Sporting KC 88%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.42 vs 0.86. Chicago Fire: 12.9 shots per match, Sporting KC: 6.6.
Match halves
Chicago Fire: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.63. Sporting KC: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire: 31-45+ (3 goals). Sporting KC: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Chicago Fire win (1): the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and hold a 75% home win rate, averaging 2.6 points per game across their last five, while Sporting KC have lost all 5 most recent fixtures and collected 0 points in that span. Chicago have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (12 in the season) and conceded 5, whereas Sporting have only 3 goals in their last 5 (7 in the season) and have shipped 16 goals in the last 5 (20 in the season). At home Fire average 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against per game, while Sporting away average 0.75 goals for and 2.5 against, clearly indicating a defensive edge for the hosts. Chance creation also favors Chicago: on average 15 shots and 4.75 on target at home versus 5.5 shots and 2 on target for Sporting on the road; Chicago’s home xG is 1.61, while Sporting’s away xG is 0.73 with an xG against of 2.14. Additionally, Chicago have 0% matches without scoring at home and 75% clean sheets at home, whereas Sporting have 50% matches without scoring away and 0% clean sheets, so I assess a high probability of a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign a 78% probability to BTTS - Yes and 22% to No Goal because Chicago has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and 0% clean sheets at home, while Sporting has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and 0% clean sheets away. Both teams concede an average of 2.5 goals this season (Chicago 2.5, Sporting 2.5), and the league shows BTTS at 57% with an average of 3.24 goals per match, which favors a both-teams-to-score outcome. In the last 5 matches Chicago scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), whereas Sporting scored 3 (0.6) and conceded 16 (3.2), so Sporting is highly vulnerable to conceding. From an xG perspective Chicago has recent xG for 1.32 and xG against 1.77, and Sporting has xG for 0.83 and xG against 1.97, indicating both sides create or allow scoring opportunities. Additionally, 75% of Chicago’s home matches are over 2.5 goals and Sporting has 100% of away matches over 2.5 goals, which together provide a strong signal for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals from xG and form analysis are around 2.87 (Chicago Fire 1.62 and Sporting KC 1.25), based on xG from the last 5 matches (Chicago 1.32, Sporting 0.83) and opponents’ defensive xG (Sporting conceded 1.97, Chicago 1.77). Seasonal indicators confirm a tendency for higher scoring: Over 2.5 occurred in 75% of Chicago’s matches and 100% of Sporting’s, and in the last 5 matches were 60% and 100% respectively. Sporting KC conceded an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 games (16 conceded), while Chicago is on a run “wwwwd” and averaged 1.8 goals in the last 5; Chicago averages 7.75 shots (3.5 on target) versus Sporting KC 5.5 (2.0 on target). A Poisson model with an expected total of 2.87 goals gives about a 55% chance of Over 2.5; factoring in seasonal frequencies I forecast Over 2.5 at ~68% (Over 1.5 ~82%, Over 3.5 ~39%). On this basis I recommend a bet on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal: the combination of high seasonal rates (75%/100%), Chicago’s form and Sporting KC’s weak defense (3.2 conceded in the last 5) favors Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Chicago Fire leading at the break and the hosts winning (HT/FT 1/1), because in 4 of the last 5 matches the hosts led at half-time (80%) and won 4 of 5 games (80%). Chicago averages 1.4 first-half goals over the last 5 matches compared to Sporting KC’s 0.4, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.8 first-half goals in those five fixtures, giving the home side a clear advantage in the opening period. Additionally, Chicago generates higher xG (0.98 vs 0.73) and more shots on target (3.5 vs 2.0), confirming offensive dominance; conversion rates are similar (13% vs 14%), but the xG and shots-on-target edge favors the Fire. Recent form over five matches also favors the hosts (wwwwd vs lllll), with the last five-match statistics showing 80% wins for Chicago versus 0% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of maintaining the halftime lead to full-time. For these reasons I assign the highest probability to 1/1, while 1/X and X/1 receive smaller shares due to the risk of a turnaround or equalizer and the seasonal context that home teams had 75% of games with both teams scoring versus 50% for the away side.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 0.6 pts / match - Sporting KC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chicago Fire is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 0.88 goals / match - Sporting KC
Chicago Fire is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 2.5 goals / match - Sporting KC
Chicago Fire scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Sporting KC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Sporting KC scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - Sporting KC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chicago Fire is 350% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 0.5 pts / match - Sporting KC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting KC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire
Sporting KC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | Sporting KC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 5:0 Sporting KC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
Chicago Fire score 1.50 goals per game on average and Sporting KC 0.88. The MLS average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Chicago Fire's matches and 63% of Sporting KC's.
What form are Chicago Fire and Sporting KC in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sporting KC 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.