Chippenham Town vs Yate Town: match statistics

Yate Town are in significantly better form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals in total. Over the same period, Chippenham Town have recorded just 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. The visitors are averaging 2.4 goals per game in their recent run, while the hosts are conceding an average of 1.6 goals, which clearly favors Yate’s attacking potential. The difference in points gained over the last five matches—2.6 for Yate compared with 0.8 for Chippenham—also confirms the visitors’ superior consistency. The lack of complete season data limits the assessment of home advantage, but the current trend points to a Yate Town victory.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60% each and representing a moderately strong signal for goals at both ends. Yate Town are in excellent form, scoring 12 goals in five matches—an average of 2.4 per game—while Chippenham Town conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period. The hosts scored 6 times in their last five outings, averaging 1.2 goals, while Yate Town conceded just 4 goals, meaning a Chippenham goal is not as certain as a goal for the visitors. Chippenham’s xG from their last five matches stands at 1.59 versus 1.36 xG conceded, indicating genuine attacking potential from the hosts. Yate Town’s low xG of 0.34 calls for caution, but their actual tally of 12 goals and four consecutive wins support a BTTS - Yes scenario.

Data from the last 5 matches indicates clearly better form for Yate Town: the visitors scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 per game, and conceded only 4. Over the same period, Chippenham Town averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, giving the visitors an advantage, although this does not necessarily point to a very high-scoring game. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of Yate’s last five appearances, but the figure was only 40% for Chippenham, while the combined projected goal tally stands at 2.30. In addition, Yate’s average xG is just 0.34, compared with 1.59 for the hosts, meaning the visitors’ recent scoring efficiency may be difficult to fully replicate. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as a result of 0:1, 1:1, 0:2 or 1:2 would fit the current form of both teams well.

Yate Town have been clearly stronger over their last five matches, collecting 13 points from four wins and a draw, while Chippenham Town have managed just 4 points and lost three games. The visitors were level at half-time in 80% of those matches and were never trailing at the break, strongly supporting the draw at Half-Time angle. After the interval, Yate average 1.6 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, giving them a +7 goal difference in the second half. Chippenham concede an average of 1.4 goals after half-time, while across their last five appearances they have allowed opponents to score 1.6 goals per game. The most logical scenario is therefore a closely contested opening, followed by the superiority of the more clinical and significantly better-defending visitors.