Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu: match statistics
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chongqing Tongliang Long played Sichuan Jiuniu in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Chongqing Tongliang Long: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Sichuan Jiuniu: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chongqing Tongliang Long scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Sichuan Jiuniu scores 2.00 and concedes 2.40. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chongqing Tongliang Long 40%, Sichuan Jiuniu 60%. Over 2.5: Chongqing Tongliang Long 40%, Sichuan Jiuniu 60%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sichuan Jiuniu has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.14. Chongqing Tongliang Long: 9.8 shots per match, Sichuan Jiuniu: 13.6.
Match halves
Chongqing Tongliang Long: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Chongqing Tongliang Long: 61-75 (2 goals). Sichuan Jiuniu: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a clear advantage and I back them to win: they sit 2nd in the table and at home they have a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. At home they average 2.0 goals per match (7 goals this season and 7 in the last 5) from 12 shots with 5.33 on target and a conversion rate of 17%. Sichuan Jiuniu on the road average only 0.5 goals per match, attempt 8.5 shots with 3.5 on target and have a 6% conversion, and additionally have not won any away games (100% losses). The quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Chongqing’s home xG is 1.41 with xG against 1.01, while the visitors have an attacking xG of 0.96 and xG against 2.4, which translates to an average of 1.33 goals conceded by the hosts versus 3.0 conceded by the visitors away. In the last 5 matches the hosts are earning 2.2 points per game (form: dwdww), while the visitors average 1.2 points (form: lwlwl); the hosts have 0% home games without scoring, whereas Sichuan failed to score in 50% of away matches and have kept no clean sheets on the road, further increasing Chongqing’s chances of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Chongqing averages 3.0 goals per match this season with xG 1.8, while Sichuan concedes 3.0 goals per match (xG against 2.4), strongly indicating the home side will score. Sichuan seasonally scores only 0.5 goals per match (xG 0.96, avg 3.5 shots on target and conversion 6%), however in the last 5 matches they average 2.0 goals and have BTTS in 60% of those games, so they can respond goal-wise in the short term. Additionally, the league shows BTTS in 60% of matches, with home teams at 67% season BTTS (away teams 50%), suggesting a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. The counterargument is that Chongqing have conceded just 0.8 goals on average in their last 5 matches, which limits the visitors' chances, but Sichuan have no clean sheets this season (0%), so the risk of both teams scoring remains high. Based on this I assess BTTS at 72% vs 28% and recommend a
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG is 1.80 for Chongqing and 0.96 for Sichuan, totaling 2.76 xG, which indicates a moderately high scoring potential. A Poisson model with λ=2.76 yields P(>1.5) ≈ 76%, P(>2.5) ≈ 52% and P(>3.5) ≈ 30%, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. The home side averages 17 shots per match with 5.67 on target and an 18% conversion rate, while Sichuan has 8.5 shots, 3.5 on target and only a 6% conversion rate, increasing the likelihood of goals from Chongqing. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal this season, and Chongqing has 67% of fixtures over 2.5 goals, which further supports a multi-goal scenario. Based on this, I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line (over), while the 2.5 line offers only a moderate edge (52%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics clearly favor the home side: home xG 1.8 versus 0.96 for the visitors, on average 17.0 shots and 5.67 on target compared to 8.5 and 3.5, with conversion rates 18% vs 6%, giving Chongqing a significant attacking edge. Over the season the hosts score 3.0 goals per match with a 67% win rate, while Sichuan records 0.5 goals and a 0% win rate, translating into a high probability of a home victory. At half-time the hosts average 1.67 goals vs 0.5 for the visitors and the home side led at the break in 33% of matches, with the visitors leading 0% — this increases the likelihood of the home team leading at the break or the half-time draw. Additionally, Chongqing scored 4 goals in the 31–45 minute window and have 67% clean sheets at half-time, supporting a scenario of maintaining the lead after the break. As a result the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1 (35%) with the second scenario X/1 (28%) — combined probability of a home win is approximately 69%, draws 22% and an away win 9%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chongqing Tongliang Long is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long · 1.2 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sichuan Jiuniu is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long · 2 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long · 2.4 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Chongqing Tongliang Long keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chongqing Tongliang Long
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chongqing Tongliang Long is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Chongqing Tongliang Long · 1 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chongqing Tongliang Long - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | Liga | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 3.02 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 59% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
The Chinese Super League match finished Chongqing Tongliang Long 2:0 Sichuan Jiuniu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Chongqing Tongliang Long score 1.40 goals per game on average and Sichuan Jiuniu 2.00. The Chinese Super League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Chongqing Tongliang Long's matches and 60% of Sichuan Jiuniu's.
What form are Chongqing Tongliang Long and Sichuan Jiuniu in?
Over the last 5 games Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.