Ukraine - Ukrainian Premier LeagueStadion ChornomoretsData current as of 22 October 2026

Chornomorets vs Karpaty: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Chornomorets vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Chornomorets play Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Chornomorets.

Current form

Chornomorets: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Karpaty: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Chornomorets scores 0.63 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.89 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Chornomorets 50%, Karpaty 56%. Over 2.5: Chornomorets 38%, Karpaty 56%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Karpaty has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.70. Chornomorets: 5.1 shots per match, Karpaty: 8.0.

Match halves

Chornomorets: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25. Karpaty: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Chornomorets: 31-45+ (2 goals). Karpaty: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ukrainian Premier League: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.91)
(3.75)
(1.73)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.63Goals scored / match1.89
ChornomoretsKarpaty
1.38Goals conceded / match0.89
ChornomoretsKarpaty
42%Average possession51%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
1.75Shots on target / match3.89
ChornomoretsKarpaty

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.13Shots per match8
ChornomoretsKarpaty
1.75Shots on target3.89
ChornomoretsKarpaty
12.2%Shot conversion23.6%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
42%Possession51%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.7xG for1.13
ChornomoretsKarpaty
1.5xG against1.09
ChornomoretsKarpaty

Shooting quality

Chornomorets: Counter-attackingKarpaty: Efficient finishing
ChornomoretsKarpaty
Accuracy (shots on target)34%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Karpaty is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Chornomorets · 1 pts / match - Karpaty

Chornomorets
DLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W25% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.75Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Karpaty
LWDLD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Karpaty is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

0.63 goals / match - Chornomorets · 1.89 goals / match - Karpaty

Karpaty is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Chornomorets · 0.89 goals / match - Karpaty

Chornomorets scoring profile: strong

Chornomorets scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Karpaty scoring profile: very strong

Karpaty scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Chornomorets keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

5Goals scored (season)17
ChornomoretsKarpaty
11Goals conceded (season)8
ChornomoretsKarpaty
2Average goals in match2.78
ChornomoretsKarpaty
3Goals scored (last 5)6
ChornomoretsKarpaty
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
ChornomoretsKarpaty

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal89%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%2 goals56%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%3 goals33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%4 goals11%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal67%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
63%2 goals22%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%3 goals0%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%4 goals0%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%Scored in both halves33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
60%BTTS - last 560%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
13%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Karpaty is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Chornomorets · 1.56 pts / match - Karpaty

Chornomorets - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing
Karpaty - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.56
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.89
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
ChornomoretsKarpaty
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.33
ChornomoretsKarpaty
38%Clean sheet before half-time67%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
63%No goal before half-time33%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

After half-time (2nd half)

0.75Points per match (2nd half)1.56
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)1
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
ChornomoretsKarpaty
0.88Average goals (2nd half)1.44
ChornomoretsKarpaty
38%Clean sheet after half-time56%
ChornomoretsKarpaty
75%No goal after half-time44%
ChornomoretsKarpaty

Chornomorets - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Karpaty - second-half results

44% W22% D33% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chornomorets - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Karpaty - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Chornomorets
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Karpaty
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Chornomorets

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Karpaty

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.76
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
178%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).

Teams vs league

ChornomoretsLigaKarpaty
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.50▲ 2.78
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%53%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▼ 25%34%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%69%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Chornomorets and Karpaty play?

Chornomorets face Karpaty on 25 October 2026 in Ukrainian Premier League at Stadion Chornomorets. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

Chornomorets score 0.63 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.89. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Chornomorets's matches and 56% of Karpaty's.

What form are Chornomorets and Karpaty in?

Over the last 5 games Chornomorets have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Karpaty 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chornomorets vs Karpaty: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.