Chrobry Głogów vs Podbeskidzie: match statistics

Chrobry Głogów sit 3rd, but their only home game so far ended in a 0:1 defeat: despite 57% possession, the hosts registered 15 shots, with only 1 on target, and failed to score. Podbeskidzie remain unbeaten this season, with three draws, and have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals compared to Chrobry’s 9. Away from home, the visitors average 2 goals and 5 shots on target per match, while the hosts concede an average of 1 goal at home. However, Podbeskidzie’s defence is not entirely convincing either, allowing opponents an xG of 1.92 and conceding an average of 2 goals away from home. The combination of the visitors’ strong attacking output and clear defensive vulnerability, together with draws in both of their away matches so far, points to a draw as the most likely outcome.

Both teams have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their league matches so far, compared with a league-wide average of 59%. Chrobry average 2.0 goals scored and the same number conceded, while Podbeskidzie also average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Over their last five appearances, both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of matches, scoring an average of 1.8 and 2.2 goals respectively, while conceding 1.2 and 1.4 goals. Their defensive struggles are further underlined by the xG against figures: 1.53 for Chrobry and 1.76 for Podbeskidzie over their last five matches. Neither side has kept a clean sheet or failed to score so far, making a goal for both teams the most likely outcome.

Both teams have averaged 2.0 total goals in their league matches so far, and neither has kept a clean sheet yet. In their last five games, Chrobry averaged 1.8 goals, while Podbeskidzie averaged 2.2, supporting the prediction of at least two goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is clear: they average 13 shots and 5 shots on target, with an xG of 1.66, while Chrobry allow opponents an xG of 1.76. In the last five matches involving both teams, Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score landed 60% and 80% of the time, respectively, although the small sample size calls for caution with higher goal lines. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the lack of clean sheets and both teams’ consistent scoring give this line by far the highest probability.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Chrobry were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Podbeskidzie; both teams averaged 0.6 goals before half-time during this period. After the interval, Podbeskidzie have greater potential, averaging 1.6 goals in second halves compared with Chrobry’s 1.2, and winning this part of the game in 60% of their recent matches. The visitors also create more chances over the course of the match: their average xG stands at 1.66 versus 1.09 for the hosts, while they average 5 shots on target compared with 3. Form also favours the visitors, who have not lost any of their last five matches, whereas Chrobry suffered 2 defeats. The X/2 scenario best combines a balanced, more cautious start with Podbeskidzie’s advantage in the latter stages of the match.