Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków: match statistics
Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chrobry Głogów played Znicz Pruszków in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Chrobry Głogów: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Znicz Pruszków: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chrobry Głogów scores 1.38 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Znicz Pruszków scores 1.09 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chrobry Głogów 53%, Znicz Pruszków 53%. Over 2.5: Chrobry Głogów 50%, Znicz Pruszków 56%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Chrobry Głogów has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.48. Chrobry Głogów: 13.1 shots per match, Znicz Pruszków: 12.2.
Match halves
Chrobry Głogów: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.84. Znicz Pruszków: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Chrobry Głogów: 76-90+ (12 goals). Znicz Pruszków: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chrobry Głogów is the favorite: they sit 4th in the table versus Znicz Pruszków in 17th, and this season have 15 wins and 44 goals compared to the visitors’ 6 wins and 35 goals. The hosts score 1.63 goals per home game, average 5.19 on-target shots per match and a 12% conversion rate, while Znicz on the road scores just 0.81 goals with 3.44 on-target shots and 7% conversion, indicating a clear advantage in the quality of chances created by Chrobry. Defensively Chrobry concedes 1.06 goals per home match, Znicz 1.38 away; the visitors have conceded 63 goals this season and shipped 11 in the last 5 matches versus 7 for Chrobry. Additionally, Chrobry have only 13% of home matches without scoring compared to 44% of Znicz’s away matches without a goal, and the hosts’ xG of 1.7 versus the visitors’ 1.4 confirms the advantage is real; the hosts also average 1.2 points per match over the last 5 games versus Znicz’s 0.4. Based on this I predict a home win; I expect the superiority in on-target shots and conversion to translate into the result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics indicate a propensity for BTTS: home side BTTS at 63%, away side 44%, producing an average of ~54% for both teams and close to the league level of 64%. In the last 5 matches the pattern reverses — away team BTTS 80% versus home 40% — and in that period the away side conceded on average 2.2 goals compared to 1.4 conceded by the home side, increasing the risk of Goal/Goal. xG and chance-creation data corroborate this risk: home xG 1.57 with xG against 1.65, away xG 1.40 with xG against 1.54, and average shots on target 4.38 for home vs 3.44 for away. Additionally, the home team keeps a clean sheet in only 13% of matches, the away team in 19%, and the home side concedes on average 2.56 goals per match, so the low clean-sheet rates and high goals conceded support the BTTS - Yes option. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at approximately 66% (Yes) vs 34% (No) and recommend 'Yes' as the strongest signal from the available data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.61 xG for Chrobry and 1.47 xG for Znicz, translating to a total of 3.08 expected goals. Seasonal data confirm a propensity for goals: Chrobry has Over 1.5 in 88% of home matches, Znicz 63% away, and Chrobry records Over 2.5 in 75% of home games (Znicz 38%). Both teams have low clean sheet rates (13% for Chrobry, 19% for Znicz) and BTTS figures of 63%/44%, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Shot statistics also support the Over: Chrobry 13.31 shots and 4.38 on target with 10% conversion, Znicz 11.13 shots and 3.44 on target with 7% conversion. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (estimated ~81% vs 19% for Under), while Over 2.5 also has a moderate chance (~59%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chrobry defends very poorly – conceding an average of 2.56 goals per match and showing a negative Half-Time/Full-Time profile: scores 0.75 goals and concedes 1.06 by the break, and is trailing at the break in 50% of its home appearances, which strongly indicates the visitors leading after 45 minutes. Znicz led at the break in 31% of its matches and has accumulated 21 points at Half-Time compared to Chrobry’s 16; although Znicz averages just 0.81 goals per match, it makes better use of the first half. This season Chrobry wins only 13% of home matches and loses 69%, whereas Znicz wins 25% of fixtures, increasing the likelihood that the away side will maintain or secure a lead through full-time. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 2/2 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario (30%), with 2/X (15%) and X/2 (10%) as realistic alternates.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chrobry Głogów | Znicz Pruszków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chrobry Głogów is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Chrobry Głogów · 0.4 pts / match - Znicz Pruszków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chrobry Głogów is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Chrobry Głogów · 1.09 goals / match - Znicz Pruszków
Chrobry Głogów is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Chrobry Głogów · 1.97 goals / match - Znicz Pruszków
Chrobry Głogów scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Znicz Pruszków keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Znicz Pruszków scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Chrobry Głogów keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chrobry Głogów
Over / Under - Znicz Pruszków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chrobry Głogów is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Chrobry Głogów · 1.16 pts / match - Znicz Pruszków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chrobry Głogów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Znicz Pruszków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chrobry Głogów
Znicz Pruszków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Chrobry Głogów | Liga | Znicz Pruszków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.97 | • 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 20% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chrobry Głogów 1 - 0 - 0 Znicz Pruszków. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków?
The 1. Liga match finished Chrobry Głogów 3:2 Znicz Pruszków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków?
Chrobry Głogów score 1.38 goals per game on average and Znicz Pruszków 1.09. The 1. Liga average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Chrobry Głogów's matches and 53% of Znicz Pruszków's.
What form are Chrobry Głogów and Znicz Pruszków in?
Over the last 5 games Chrobry Głogów have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Znicz Pruszków 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chrobry Głogów vs Znicz Pruszków: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.