Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb: match statistics

Dubrava Zagreb are showing significantly more consistent form: they are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, winning 4 and drawing 1, while Cibalia have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Over this period, the visitors have scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 per match, while conceding only 4; Cibalia have scored 10 times but allowed 7 goals. The difference in average points from the last five matches is 2.6 for Dubrava compared with 2.0 for the hosts, indicating greater consistency from the Zagreb side. Cibalia can benefit from home advantage and their slightly higher goal tally in recent matches, but their defence is conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. A narrow away win is therefore the most likely outcome, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.

The latest form of both teams points to goals at both ends: Cibalia recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Dubrava Zagreb did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceded 1.4, while the visitors scored 1.8 and conceded 0.8. Their attacking potential is supported by similar xG figures: 1.34 for Cibalia and 1.33 for Dubrava, although both defences allowed opponents higher-quality chances, with 1.49 and 1.65 xG against them, respectively. Cibalia scored 10 goals in five matches, while Dubrava scored 9, giving both sides strong arguments to find the net. Although Dubrava conceded only 4 goals in their last 5 matches, Cibalia’s high BTTS rate and consistent finishing slightly favour the BTTS - Yes scenario.

The latest form of both teams points to a goal-filled match: Cibalia have scored 10 goals in five games, while Dubrava Zagreb have scored 9, averaging 2.0 and 1.8 goals per game, respectively. Cibalia conceded an average of 1.4 goals during this period, whereas Dubrava’s opponents conceded 0.8, providing a solid basis for a projection of around 2.80 total goals. Their creative potential is also similar, with average xG of 1.34 for Cibalia and 1.33 for Dubrava, while both defences allowed xG figures of 1.49 and 1.65. At least three goals were scored in 60% of Cibalia’s last five matches and 40% of Dubrava’s, making Over 2.5 only moderately positive. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5, supported by the high efficiency of both attacks and the fact that both teams scored in 80% and 60% of their last matches, respectively.

The available data from the last five matches more clearly favor Dubrava Zagreb, who won four games, scored an average of 1.8 goals, and conceded just 0.8, while Cibalia recorded three victories and conceded 1.4 goals per match. Both teams were leading at the break in 60% of these appearances, but the visitors’ defense already looks more stable before half-time: Dubrava conceded an average of just 0.2 goals and kept a clean sheet in 80% of first halves, compared with Cibalia’s 0.8 goals conceded. After the interval, the visitors also hold the edge in terms of results, winning the second half in 60% of matches and scoring an average of 0.8 goals during them, compared with just 20% of second-half wins for the home side. The scenario of Dubrava leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory is therefore the strongest, although Cibalia’s attacking form, at 2.0 goals per match, leaves significant risk of alternative outcomes.