Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919: match statistics
Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cibalia played Karlovac 1919 in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cibalia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Karlovac 1919: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cibalia scores 1.42 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Karlovac 1919 scores 1.38 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cibalia 46%, Karlovac 1919 38%. Over 2.5: Cibalia 50%, Karlovac 1919 46%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Cibalia has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.31. Cibalia: 9.6 shots per match, Karlovac 1919: 9.9.
Match halves
Cibalia: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92. Karlovac 1919: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Cibalia: 61-75 (12 goals). Karlovac 1919: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cibalia is the favorite in this fixture: at home they average 1.83 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded per match, while Karlovac 1919 average 1.08 scored and 1.67 conceded on the road. Quality of chance creation also favors the hosts: Cibalia’s home xG is 1.59 versus Karlovac’s 1.15 xG away, and average shots are 10.92 vs 8.17 (on target 4.33 vs 4.08). Cibalia have a 58% home win rate and 50% clean sheets at home, whereas the visitors win only 25% of away matches and keep 8% clean sheets; the seasonal home goal difference is +13 for the hosts versus -7 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Cibalia scored 10 goals and average 1.4 points per game, while Karlovac scored 6 goals and average 1.2 points, indicating greater efficiency and stability from the hosts. For these reasons I assign higher probability to a Cibalia win, with moderate risk of a draw and a relatively low probability of a away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No Goal/No Goal (BTTS - No). Cibalia averages 1.64 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.64 per match, keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games, while the season-long home BTTS rate is only 21%. Karlovac scores 1.08 and concedes 1.67 per match, but their last 5 matches show a 0% BTTS occurrence (0/5), indicating their recent games have not featured both teams scoring. xG breakdown is approximately 1.38 for the home side (1.45 vs 1.30) and 1.05 for the visitors (1.15 vs 0.95), implying a moderate home advantage and a higher likelihood of one-sided scores. Considering Cibalia’s 50% clean sheets, the league’s 66% clean sheet rate and the visitors’ 0% BTTS in the last 5, I assess BTTS probability at 30% and No BTTS at 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.38 goals for Cibalia (xG_for 1.45 and opponent xG_against 1.30 → average 1.38) and 1.05 for Karlovac 1919 (xG_for 1.15 and opponent xG_against 0.95 → 1.05), yielding a combined expected goals total of 2.43. With lambda ≈2.43 the Poisson distribution indicates roughly a 70% probability of Over 1.5, about 44% for Over 2.5 and about 23% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Seasonal stats and form corroborate this forecast: Karlovac has 92% of matches over 1.5 versus 50% for Cibalia, both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal (Over 0.5), and Cibalia averages 1.64 goals per match this season. In the last 5 matches Cibalia averaged 2.0 goals (10 goals in 5) with 80% Over 2.5 in the last 5, while Karlovac averaged 1.2 goals (6 goals in 5), which together increases the chance of at least two goals. For these reasons I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the most likely and strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cibalia holds a clear advantage: the hosts average 1.64 goals per game versus Karlovac 1919’s 1.08, and xG is 1.45 for Cibalia against 1.15 for the visitors, indicating greater expected scoring opportunities for the hosts. At Half-Time Cibalia averages 0.71 goals scored and only 0.21 conceded (scoredAVGHT_home 0.71, concededAVGHT_home 0.21), led at the break in 6 matches (43% of the season) and was leading at HT in 4 of the last 5 matches (80%), which increases the likelihood the hosts will hold the lead after the first 45 minutes. The hosts have 79% clean sheets at Half-Time and 64% clean sheets in second halves (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 79, cs_2hg_percentage_home 64), and concede only 0.43 goals on average in the 2nd half, giving them a strong chance of maintaining a lead. Karlovac 1919 concedes 1.67 goals on average this season and are weaker away (0.92 points per match), while their BTTS is 58%, meaning the visitors can score but typically do not dominate opponents with a strong home defense. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Cibalia leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (1/1), considering Cibalia’s 64% home win rate and the defensive indicators noted above.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cibalia | Karlovac 1919 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cibalia is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Cibalia · 1.2 pts / match - Karlovac 1919
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cibalia is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Cibalia · 1.12 goals / match - Karlovac 1919
Cibalia scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Karlovac 1919 keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Karlovac 1919 scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Cibalia keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cibalia
Over / Under - Karlovac 1919
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karlovac 1919 is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Cibalia · 1.42 pts / match - Karlovac 1919
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cibalia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karlovac 1919 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cibalia
Karlovac 1919
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Cibalia | Liga | Karlovac 1919 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.38 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cibalia 1 - 0 - 1 Karlovac 1919. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919?
The Druga HNL match finished Cibalia 2:1 Karlovac 1919. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cibalia and Karlovac 1919?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cibalia won 1, Karlovac 1919 won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919?
Cibalia score 1.42 goals per game on average and Karlovac 1919 1.38. The Druga HNL average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cibalia's matches and 38% of Karlovac 1919's.
What form are Cibalia and Karlovac 1919 in?
Over the last 5 games Cibalia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Karlovac 1919 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cibalia vs Karlovac 1919?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.