Cienciano vs ADT: match statistics
Cienciano vs ADT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cienciano played ADT in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Cienciano: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. ADT: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cienciano scores 2.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. ADT scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cienciano 75%, ADT 38%. Over 2.5: Cienciano 75%, ADT 25%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Cienciano has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.38. Cienciano: 15.6 shots per match, ADT: 13.0.
Match halves
Cienciano: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25. ADT: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Cienciano: 76-90+ (6 goals). ADT: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cienciano is the clear favorite based on the numbers: at home they score an average of 3.25 goals per match and have 19 goals this season with an average xG of 2.06 and 8.75 shots on target per game. ADT on the road scores just 0.25 goals per match (7 goals this season), has xG 0.79, only 2.75 shots on target and fails to score in 75% of away matches. In the last 5 matches Cienciano have scored 12 goals and recorded a 4-0-1 record with an average of 2.6 points per match, while ADT in the same period have scored 6 goals, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss and an average of 1.2 points per match. Defensively both teams concede on average 0.75 goals at their respective grounds, but ADT allow a higher xG against on the road (1.08 vs 0.87 for the hosts), and nonetheless have a much lower shot conversion rate (18% conversion for Cienciano vs 3% for ADT). On that basis I predict a Cienciano win, considering the greater number of created chances, higher efficiency and 0% goalless home matches versus 75% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Cienciano shows a strong BTTS trend: season BTTS is 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with a seasonal goals scored average of 1.5 and 2.4 in the last 5. ADT scores poorly in attack seasonally (0.25 goals per match and season BTTS 0%), but in the last 5 matches it improved to 1.2 goals per match and 60% BTTS, so there is a realistic chance they will score. xG differentials indicate a home advantage: Cienciano has xG 1.98 versus ADT 0.79, with xG against 1.31 for Cienciano, which means many created chances despite susceptibility to conceded goals. Cienciano averages 7.5 shots on target and 18.75 attempts per match versus ADT's 2.75 and 7.25, and ADT in the last 5 matches has scored 6 and conceded 6, so a Goal/Goal outcome is more likely; therefore forecast BTTS - Yes 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model combining home xG (1.98) and away xG conceded (1.08) yields an expected 1.53 goals for Cienciano, while combining away xG (0.79) with home xG conceded (1.31) gives 1.05 for ADT, totalling 2.58 goals. Cienciano generates clearly more chances: on average 18.75 shots and 7.5 on target versus ADT's 7.25 and 2.75, with better conversion 8% vs 3%, confirming the hosts' offensive edge. In the last 5 matches Cienciano averaged 2.4 goals (12 goals) and ADT 1.2 (6 goals), and seasonally Cienciano home matches finished over 1.5 in 75% of cases while ADT away only in 25%. This translates into a high probability of at least 2 combined goals (~73% for over 1.5); the 2.5 line is close to a coin flip (~48% over) and 3.5 clearly favors the under (~74% under), hence the recommendation of over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cienciano holds a clear advantage at the break: they led at half-time in 3 of their home matches so far (75%) and average 0.75 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for ADT, so the scenario of the home side leading at the break is the strongest. For the full-time result I favor the hosts, as their xG is 1.98 versus 0.79 for ADT, and the hosts average 7.5 shots on target compared to 2.75 for the visitors, indicating better chance creation and a higher likelihood of maintaining the result. However, 75% of Cienciano’s season home matches end with goals from both teams (BTTS 75%), while ADT have no BTTS in away games (0%), which increases the risk of conceding after the break and justifies a significant share for the 1/X scenario. In the last 5 matches Cienciano have won 80% of the time while ADT only 20%, therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (40%), with next chances for 1/X (15%) and X/X (10%). Smaller shares are allocated to ADT comeback variants after the break (1/2 8%, X/1 6%, 2/1 7%, 2/X 5%, 2/2 4%), reflecting the visitors’ lower xG and fewer shots on target.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cienciano | ADT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cienciano is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Cienciano · 1.2 pts / match - ADT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cienciano is 170% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Cienciano · 0.88 goals / match - ADT
ADT is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Cienciano · 1.13 goals / match - ADT
Cienciano scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while ADT keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
ADT scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Cienciano keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cienciano
Over / Under - ADT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cienciano is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Cienciano · 1.5 pts / match - ADT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cienciano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ADT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cienciano
ADT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cienciano | Liga | ADT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.63 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cienciano 0 - 1 - 1 ADT. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cienciano vs ADT?
The Primera División match finished Cienciano 3:2 ADT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cienciano and ADT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 0, ADT won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cienciano vs ADT?
Cienciano score 2.38 goals per game on average and ADT 0.88. The Primera División average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Cienciano's matches and 38% of ADT's.
What form are Cienciano and ADT in?
Over the last 5 games Cienciano have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and ADT 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cienciano vs ADT?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cienciano vs ADT: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.