Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cienciano played Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 31 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Cienciano: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cienciano scores 1.65 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.48 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cienciano 61%, Real Garcilaso 65%. Over 2.5: Cienciano 61%, Real Garcilaso 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Cienciano has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.35. Cienciano: 15.5 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 12.4.
Match halves
Cienciano: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Cienciano: 76-90+ (12 goals). Real Garcilaso: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cienciano have a clear home advantage: they win 67% of their home matches, score an average of 2.08 goals and concede just 1.00 goal per game. Real Garcilaso lose as many as 67% of their away matches, score only 1.08 goals, and their defence allows opponents an average of 2.25 goals. The hosts create significantly more chances, recording 18.08 shots and 6.33 shots on target per match, compared with the visitors’ 9.5 shots and 3.75 shots on target. Their average xG figures confirm this as well: Cienciano record 1.91 at home with 0.99 xG against, while Real Garcilaso generate 1.10 away from home and allow 1.81. Although Cienciano’s form over their last five matches has not been ideal, their superior quality at home and the visitors’ very poor away defence strongly favour a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is more likely because Cienciano score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while Real Garcilaso concede as many as 2.25 goals away and have kept no clean sheets. The hosts have not had a single home match this season without scoring, which clearly strengthens the likelihood of them finding the net. Real Garcilaso do have a lower away scoring average of 1.08 goals, but they have scored an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, while Cienciano have conceded 1.6 goals per game over the same period. The season-long BTTS percentages are high for both sides: 64% for Cienciano and 67% for Real Garcilaso, while the visitors had BTTS in 80% of their last five matches. The main risk to the pick is Cienciano’s strong home defence, with an average of 0.73 goals conceded, but the hosts’ current defensive form supports the likelihood of at least one goal from the visitors.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Cienciano score an average of 1.91 goals at home, while Real Garcilaso concede as many as 2.25 goals per away match, which clearly strengthens the hosts’ attacking potential. This is supported by the xG figures: 1.62 for Cienciano versus 1.81 xG conceded on average by the visitors. In their last five matches, Real Garcilaso have scored 1.8 goals per game but have also allowed opponents to score 2.0, giving this fixture a solid foundation for at least two goals. The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 73% of Cienciano’s matches and 75% of Real Garcilaso’s games, with both teams scoring in every match within this sample. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the hosts’ high attacking output and the visitors’ weak away defence provide the most reliable goals signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cienciano were level at half-time in 7 of their 11 home matches, or 64% of the time, and conceded just 0.18 goals per game in the first half. Real Garcilaso did take the lead at the break in 33% of their away matches, but they also conceded an average of 0.92 goals before half-time, which points towards an evenly balanced opening. After the break, the home side’s advantage is clear: they score an average of 1.18 goals, while the visitors concede 1.33 goals away from home and win the second half in only 8% of matches. The difference in overall quality is also reflected in Cienciano’s average of 2.36 points at home compared with Real Garcilaso’s 0.83 away, as well as their win rates of 73% and 25%, respectively. The most likely scenario is therefore a draw after a more cautious first half, followed by the home side turning the game in their favour after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cienciano | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Garcilaso is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cienciano · 1.2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cienciano is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Cienciano · 1.48 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Cienciano is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cienciano · 1.52 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Cienciano scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Real Garcilaso scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Cienciano keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cienciano
Over / Under - Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Cienciano · 1.57 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cienciano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cienciano
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cienciano | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.73 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cienciano 1 - 1 - 1 Real Garcilaso. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished Cienciano 1:2 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cienciano and Real Garcilaso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 1, Real Garcilaso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso?
Cienciano score 1.65 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.48. The Primera División average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Cienciano's matches and 65% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are Cienciano and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games Cienciano have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cienciano vs Real Garcilaso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.