Cittadella vs Lecco: match statistics
Cittadella vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cittadella played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cittadella: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lecco: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cittadella scores 1.21 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.21 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cittadella 48%, Lecco 36%. Over 2.5: Cittadella 39%, Lecco 30%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Cittadella has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.32. Cittadella: 11.8 shots per match, Lecco: 10.0.
Match halves
Cittadella: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.91. Lecco: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Cittadella: 76-90+ (12 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams show similar goal numbers (Cittadella 1.38 at home, Lecco 1.31 away) and xG, indicating balanced attacking chances. Cittadella have possession advantage (55%), higher shots (12.44) and higher home xG (1.55), giving them the initiative. Lecco are very solid defensively away (0.81 GA, 38% CS and low FTS 13%), which suppresses the hosts’ attacks. Both sides also have high draw rates and similar recent form, increasing the probability of a draw. Therefore I expect a low- to moderate-scoring match and a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Cittadella show solid season defense (0.82 GA, 47% CS) and low home BTTS (24%), strongly favoring no both teams to score. The league has high matches without both teams scoring (CS 61%) and low avg goals (2.28), further supporting NO. Lecco have moderate offense (1.31 g/m) and some xG gaps for opponents but cannot overturn hosts' defensive advantage. Season CS and defensive balance point to at least one team keeping a clean sheet; recommendation: BTTS = No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates higher scoring potential than basic averages: home xG 1.37 and away opponent xG_against 1.62 give expected ~1.50 for Cittadella; Lecco projected ~1.24, total ~2.74. Season Over 2.5 rates are moderate, but recent xG and Lecco’s tendency to concede relatively high xG increase the likelihood of more goals. BTTS stats are mixed (low season BTTS for home, higher last5), offering moderate support for both teams scoring. Both teams have adequate shot and conversion rates indicating real chances for at least three goals. Strongest signal: play Over 2.5 based on xG and Lecco defensive vulnerability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data indicate strong defensive solidity for both teams in the first half (HT clean sheets: Cittadella 82%, Lecco 75%) and low HT conceded goals (0.24/0.25), which limits goals before the break. Cittadella more often lead at HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 47%) and have strong HT stats, while Lecco have better overall PPG but higher xG conceded (1.62). Considering these factors the most probable outcome is a home lead at HT and maintaining the win to full-time. Smaller but possible scenarios are HT draw followed by a home win or a full-time draw. Therefore the recommendation is HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cittadella | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cittadella is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.4 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Cittadella · 0.82 goals / match - Lecco
Cittadella scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Lecco scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cittadella
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.73 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cittadella
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Cittadella | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.27 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cittadella 1 - 0 - 0 Lecco. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cittadella vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Lecco?
Cittadella score 1.21 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.21. The Serie C Group A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cittadella's matches and 36% of Lecco's.
What form are Cittadella and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lecco 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cittadella vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.